Rangers vs Maple Leafs Prediction 10/16/25 NHL Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Rangers vs Maple Leafs Prediction for this NHL game on Thursday, October 16^th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Toronto Maple Leafs Preview

The Leafs have a 2-2 record this season, and are 2-2 ATS and 3-1 in over/under. They have a 2-1 home record and are coming off a 7-4 home victory over the Predators. Offensively, the Leafs are averaging 4.25 goals per game and are scoring 0% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.75 goals per game and are killing 83.3% of their opponent’s power plays. William Nylander leads Toronto with 7 points, two goals and 5 assists.

Anthony Stolarz is likely in net for the Leafs, and he has a 1-2 record, with 3.05 GAA and .886 SV%.

New York Rangers Preview

The Rangers have a 2-3 record this season, and are 3-2 ATS and 1-4 in over/under. They have a 2-0 road record and are coming off a 0-2 home defeat by the Oilers. Offensively, the Rangers are averaging 2.00 goals per game and are scoring 14.3% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 1.40 goals per game and are killing 100% of their opponent’s power plays. Adam Fox leads New York with 4 points, 3 goals and one assist.

Igor Shesterkin is likely in net for the Rangers, and he has a 2-2 record, with 0.76 GAA and .971 SV%.

New York Rangers @ Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Trends: October 16, 2025

Why the Toronto Maple Leafs will win

• The Maple Leafs have won each of their last seven games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• The Rangers have lost four of their last five games at Scotiabank Arena following a loss.
• The Maple Leafs have covered the puck line in each of their last four games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• The Maple Leafs have won the second period in each of their last six games against Metropolitan Division opponents.

Why the New York Rangers will win

• The road team has won each of the Rangers’ last five games.
• The Maple Leafs have lost three of their last four games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The underdogs have covered the puck line in each of the last 14 games between the Rangers and Maple Leafs.
• The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in 12 of their last 15 games as favorites following a win.
• The Rangers have won the third period in each of their last five games against Eastern Conference opponents when leading after the second period.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Maple Leafs’ last six games following a win have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Seven of the Rangers’ last eight road games against Atlantic Division opponents have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Rangers’ last nine games as underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Maple Leafs’ last eight home games.

Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts

• William Nylander has scored at least one goal in each of the Maple Leafs’ last four games as favorites against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• Auston Matthews has recorded at least one assist in seven of his last eight appearances with the Maple Leafs as favorites against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• William Nylander has recorded at least one point in each of the Maple Leafs’ last 10 games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• John Tavares ranks T1st in the league for multi-assist games (2) this season.

New York Rangers Player Prop Facts

• Alexis Lafreniere has scored a goal in each of the Rangers’ last three road games against the Maple Leafs.
• J.T. Miller has recorded at least one assist in seven of the Rangers’ last eight road games.
• Vincent Trocheck has recorded at least one point in each of the Rangers’ last 13 games as road underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents.
• Adam Fox ranks T3rd in the league for multi-goal game (1) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Toronto Maple Leafs rank T31st in the league in power play percentage this season (0.00%).
• The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 3rd in the league for goals per game this season (4.25).
• The New York Rangers rank T1st in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (100.00%).
• The New York Rangers rank 2nd in the league for goals against per game this season (1.40).

Rangers vs Maple Leafs Prediction

Ther Leafs were 2-1 in their three meetings against the Rangers last season, losing their only meeting in Toronto by 4-1. They are 6-2 in their last 8 meetings against the Rangers, but both teams are tied 2-2 in their last 4 meetings in Toronto. Over is 4-2 in their last 6 meetings.

In this Rangers vs Maple Leafs Prediction, the Leafs are coming as -150 home favorites. The Rangers have blacked out in their last two games, losing both without scoring a single goal. On the flip side, Toronto has won back-to-back home games, having scored 6 goals per game, and has a good history against the Rangers in recent years. The value here lies with the home favorite, so take the Toronto Maple Leafs on the moneyline in this one.