Red Wings vs Lightning Prediction 10/17/25 NHL Picks Today

The Tampa Bay Lightning and Detroit Red Wings meet Friday in NHL action at Little Caesars Arena. Here’s a Red Wings vs Lightning Prediction. This article will include a Red Wings vs Lightning Pick.

Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Bruins, lost to the Capitals, and they play the Blue Jackets next. The Lightning have lost 4 of their last 5 regular season games.

The Tampa Bay Lightning are averaging 3.25 goals per game and are scoring on 40 percent of their power play opportunities. Nikita Kucherov leads Tampa Bay with 2 goals, Jake Guentzel has 4 assists, and Yanni Gourde has 9 shots on goal. Defensively, the Tampa Bay Lightning are allowing 4 goals per game and are killing 87.5 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Andrei Vasilevskiy has allowed 12 goals on 92 shots faced, while Jonas Johansson has given up 3 goals on 33 shots.

Detroit Red Wings Betting Preview

The Detroit Red Wings beat the Maple Leafs and Panthers, and they play the Oilers next. The Red Wings have won 8 of their last 12 games.

The Detroit Red Wings are averaging 3.5 goals per game and are scoring 26.7 percent of their power play opportunities. Mason Appleton leads Detroit with 3 goals, Alex DeBrincat has 6 assists and Dylan Larkin has 14 shots on goal. Defensively, the Detroit Red Wings are allowing 2.75 goals per game and are killing 88.9 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Cam Talbot has given up 6 goals on 88 shots faced, while John Gibson has allowed 5 goals on 13 shots.

Why the Detroit Red Wings will win

• The Lightning have lost each of their last eight night games.
• The Red Wings have won each of their last four games as home underdogs.
• The underdogs have covered the puck line in each of the Red Wings’ last nine games at Little Caesars Arena.
• The Lightning have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last eight night games.
• The Red Wings have won the second period in each of their last seven home games following a home win.

Why the Tampa Bay Lightning will win

• The road team has won four of the Lightning’s last five games.
• The Lightning have covered the puck line in each of their last three games at Little Caesars Arena against opponents on a winning streak.
• The Lightning have won the second period in each of their last four road games against Atlantic Division opponents when tied after the first period.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Lightning’s last six games after coming off overtime have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Each of the Red Wings’ last eight Friday home games have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Nine of the last 10 Friday games at Little Caesars Arena have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Red Wings’ last nine Friday at Little Caesars Arena.
• The ‘Over 2.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in three of the Lightning’s last four night games.

Detroit Red Wings Player Prop Facts

• Patrick Kane has scored a goal in seven of his last eight appearances with the Red Wings as home underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents.
• Dylan Larkin has recorded at least one assist in each of the Red Wings’ last four games as home underdogs.
• Patrick Kane has recorded at least one point in each of the Red Wings’ last 11 home games.
• Alex DeBrincat ranks T4th in the league for Assists (6) this season.

Tampa Bay Lightning Player Prop Facts

• Brayden Point has scored at least one goal in three of the Lightning’s last four games as road favorites.
• Nikita Kucherov has recorded at least one assist in seven of his last eight appearances in night games at Little Caesars Arena.
• Jake Guentzel has recorded at least one point in eight of the Lightning’s last nine games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• Jake Guentzel ranks T4th in the league for multi-assist games (2) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Detroit Red Wings rank T5th in the league in power play percentage this season (26.67%).
• The Detroit Red Wings are one of five teams to rank in the top 10 for both goals scored and goals conceded per game this season.
• The Tampa Bay Lightning rank 3rd in the league in power play percentage this season (30.00%).
• The Tampa Bay Lightning rank T28th in the league for goals against per game this season (4.00).

Red Wings vs Lightning Prediction

You can argue this is a letdown spot for the Red Wings, who are coming off wins over legit contenders in Toronto and Florida, but the Lightning have done nothing to be favorites on the road. We’ve seen the Lightning lose 8 of their last 10 games when you include the playoffs, and they’re getting blitzed on the defensive side. The Red Wings are rolling offensively and if those issues continue for the Lightning, this could be another bad loss for Tampa Bay. I’ll take the Red Wings and the more favorable price.