Red Wings vs Penguins Prediction 3/31/26 NHL Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Red Wings vs Penguins Prediction for this NHL game on Tuesday, March 31^st. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Pittsburgh Penguins Preview

Pittsburgh is third in the Metropolitan Division with a 37-21-16 record and 90 points. They’re 44-30 against the spread and 42-30 O/U, with a 17-12-8 record at home ice. Their last four games have been an 8-3 road win over the Islanders, a 6-3 home loss to Dallas, a 4-3 shootout win in Ottawa, and a 6-2 home loss to Colorado.

Offensively, Pittsburgh averages 3.45 goals per game and converts 24.3% of their power plays. Defensively, they allow 3.07 goals per game with a penalty kill rate of 81.8%.

Sidney Crosby leads the team with 66 points and 28 goals. Erik Karlsson leads the team in assists with 47. Stuart Skinner starts in goal with a 21-15-9 record, 2.91 GAA, and .888 save percentage. Arturs Silovs backs him up at 17-10-8, 2.99 GAA, and .891 SV%.

Detroit Red Wings Preview

Detroit sits fifth in the Atlantic Division with a 39-26-8 record and 86 points. They’re 37-36 against the spread and 33-36 on totals, with a 19-12-5 record on the road. Their last four games have been a 3-5 home loss to Philadelphia, a 5-2 road win over Buffalo, a 3-2 home loss to Ottawa, and a 4-2 home loss to Boston.

Offensively, Detroit averages 2.92 goals per game and converts 21.9% of their power plays. Defensively, they allow 2.95 goals per game with a penalty kill rate of 77.4%.

Alex DeBrincat leads the team with 78 points and 37 goals. Lucas Raymond leads Detroit in assists with 47. John Gibson starts in goal with a 27-18-3 record, 2.58 GAA, and .905 save percentage. Cam Talbot backs him up at 12-8-5, 3.03 GAA, and .891 SV%.

Detroit Red Wings @ Pittsburgh Penguins Betting Trends: March 31, 2026

Why the Pittsburgh Penguins will win

• The underdogs have won each of the Red Wings’ last five games.
• The Red Wings have lost each of their last four games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The Red Wings have failed to cover the puck line in 18 of their last 19 games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The Penguins have covered the puck line in seven of their last eight games as underdogs on the second leg of a back-to-back.
• The Red Wings have lost the first period in seven of their last eight games as favorites against Metropolitan Division opponents.

Why the Detroit Red Wings will win

• The Red Wings have won each of their last eight away games when playing with a rest advantage.
• The Penguins have lost each of their last four night games at PPG Paints Arena.
• The road team has covered the puck line in each of the Penguins’ last nine games.
• The Penguins have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last seven home games.
• The Red Wings have won the second period in each of their last six games as road favorites.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Penguins’ last 10 night games have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Each of the Red Wings’ last five road games against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Seven of the last eight Tuesday night games between two teams from the Eastern Conference have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in 12 of the last 13 games between the Red Wings and Penguins.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Red Wings’ last five games as favorites against the Penguins.

Pittsburgh Penguins Player Prop Facts

• Yegor Chinakhov has scored a goal in each of the Penguins’ last five games on the second leg of a back-to-back.
• Sidney Crosby has recorded at least one assist in each of the Penguins’ last nine games against the Red Wings.
• Parker Wotherspoon has recorded three assists against the Red Wings this season – equal-most against any opponent.

Detroit Red Wings Player Prop Facts

• James van Riemsdyk has scored a goal in five of his last six road appearances against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• Andrew Copp has recorded at least one assist in each of the Red Wings’ last five games as road favorites.
• Moritz Seider has recorded an assist in each of his last four appearances – equal-longest active streak in the league.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Pittsburgh Penguins rank 5th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (81.82%).
• The Pittsburgh Penguins rank 6th in the league for goals per game this season (3.45).
• The Detroit Red Wings have recorded the largest comeback win this season – trailed by four goals vs Blues on October, 25.
• The Detroit Red Wings rank 32nd in the league for Period 1 goals scored per game this season (0.59).

Red Wings vs Penguins Prediction

Pittsburgh has beaten Detroit twice this season, 4-3 in overtime at home and 4-1 on the road and leads the last seven head-to-head meetings by 5-2 wins.

Detroit comes in as -115 road favorites. Pittsburgh is on the back end of a back-to-back after an 8-3 win over the Islanders. Detroit is 3-6 in its last nine games and 1-3 in its last four road games. I am not interested in backing either team in this spot but the scoring trends point toward a high-scoring game. Pittsburgh has gone over in nine of their last ten games, and Detroit’s last two games had seven and eight total goals. Take the over 6.5.