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Red Wings vs Stars Prediction 4/14/25 NHL Picks Today

Dallas Stars (50-24-6) vs. Detroit Red Wings (37-35-7)
April 14, 2025 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Detroit Red Wings 110 / Dallas Stars -130; Over/Under: 6
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Red Wings vs Stars prediction for this NHL game on Monday, April 14th, at Little Caesars Arena in Detroit, Michigan. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup. 

Detroit Red Wings Betting Preview

The Detroit Red Wings are 37-35-7 this year after they defeated Tampa Bay in overtime by a score of 4-3 in their last game. Detroit led 2-1 in the second period, but they needed a third-period goal to tie the game before winning in overtime. The Red Wings outshot Tampa Bay by a total of 26-21, won 57.6% of the face-offs, and went 0-1 on the power play in the game. Detroit got goals from Kane, Kasper (2), and Motte, while Lyon stopped 18 out of 21 shots in the game. 


Prior to that win, the Red Wings lost to the Panthers by a score of 4-1 and the Canadiens by a score of 4-1. Detroit has split their last six games, and they are currently sixth in the Atlantic standings with 81 points. Detroit has scored 2.80 goals per game, and they have allowed 3.15 goals against per game, while also going 27.2% on the power play and 69.5% on the penalty kill this season. Lucas Raymond has led Detroit with 26 goals, 49 assists, and 185 shots on goal, while Alex DeBrincat has added 36 goals, 31 assists, and 234 shots on goal. Cam Talbot is 20-19-4 with a 2.88 goals against average and a .904 save percentage this season. 

Dallas Stars Betting Preview

The Dallas Stars are 50-24-6 this season after they lost to Utah by a score of 5-3 in their last game. Dallas led 2-1 in the second period, but they allowed the next three goals and couldn’t recover in the loss. The Stars were outshot by a total of 34-24, won 50% of the face-offs, and went 1-4 on the power play in the game. Dallas got goals from Johnston, Robertson, and Smith, while DeSmith stopped 29 out of 34 shots in the game. 

Prior to that loss, the Stars lost to the Jets by a score of 4-0 and the Canucks by a score of 6-5. Dallas has lost five games in a row, and they are currently second in the Central standings with 106 points. Dallas has scored 3.38 goals per game, and they have allowed 2.64 goals against per game, while also going 22.8% on the power play and 82.4% on the penalty kill this season. Matt Duchene has led Dallas with 30 goals, 51 assists, and 150 shots on goal, while Jason Robertson has added 35 goals, 45 assists, and 210 shots on goal. Jake Oettinger is 36-16-4 with a 2.48 goals against average and a .912 save percentage this year. 

Why the Red Wings will beat the Stars

  • The Red Wings have won nine of their last 10 games as home underdogs against opponents on a losing streak.
  • The Stars have lost each of their last five games as favorites.
  • The Red Wings have covered the puck line in nine of their last 10 games as home underdogs against opponents on a losing streak.
  • The Stars have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last six games following a home loss.
  • The Red Wings have won the third period in each of their last six games as underdogs against Central Division opponents when leading after the second period.

Total Goals Facts

  • Each of the Red Wings’ last eight home games following an overtime win have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • Each of the Stars’ last six games against Atlantic Division opponents have gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Red Wings’ last eight games after coming off overtime.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Stars’ last six games as favorites against the Red Wings.

Detroit Red Wings Player Prop Facts

  • Vladimir Tarasenko has recorded an assist in each of the Red Wings’ last four games against Central Division opponents.
  • Dylan Larkin has scored a goal in six of the Red Wings’ last seven games as home underdogs against Central Division opponents.
  • Dylan Larkin has recorded at least one point in each of the Red Wings’ last 12 games as home underdogs against Central Division opponents.

Dallas Stars Player Prop Facts

  • Miro Heiskanen has recorded at least one assist in each of his last six appearances against the Red Wings after playing less than 20 minutes in the Stars’ last game.
  • Jason Robertson has scored a goal in each of the Stars’ last four games against the Red Wings.
  • Jason Robertson has recorded at least one point in each of the Stars’ last 11 games against the Red Wings.

Red Wings vs Stars Prediction 

Detroit comes into this matchup after officially being eliminated from the postseason, so it will be interesting to see what kind of effort they have here. The Red Wings are 21-16-3 at home this year, while the Stars are 22-14-3 on the road. Dallas is safely in the playoffs, but they have lost five games in a row and have allowed at least four goals in four of those games. The Stars don’t have much to play for, but with only a few regular-season games left, they should worry about their form entering the playoffs. We have two teams that really don’t care about the outcome of this game, so I will take the Wings with the plus money at home. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Red Wings ML

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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