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Sabres vs Senators Prediction 11/4/26 NHL Picks Today

Ottawa Senators (9-6) vs. Buffalo Sabres (7-4)
November 4, 2026 7:30 pm EDT
The Line: Buffalo Sabres -130 / Ottawa Senators 110; Over/Under: 6.5
(Get latest betting odds)

Sabres vs Senators Prediction

This will be a fifth straight road game for the Senators, and their defense has taken a step back over the last couple of weeks. The Senators have allowed four or more goals in five of their last six games. The Sabres have put together three strong wins and come back home feeling confident. The Sabres have also won seven of the last nine games against the Senators. The line is reasonable. I’m going to side with the Sabres on Wednesday night.

Ottawa Senators Betting Preview

The Ottawa Senators beat the Sharks, lost to the Ducks, and they play the Mammoth next. The Senators have lost 3 of their last 4 games.

The Ottawa Senators are averaging 3.13 goals per game and are scoring on 12.5 percent of their power-play opportunities. Tim Stutzle leads Ottawa with 9 goals, Drake Batherson has 9 assists, and Dylan Cozens has 37 shots on goal. Defensively, the Ottawa Senators are allowing 3.19 goals per game and are killing 72.9 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Linus Ullmark has allowed 10 goals on 182 shots faced, and Samuel Ersson has given up 19 goals on 142 shots.

Buffalo Sabres Betting Preview

The Buffalo Sabres beat the Kings and Ducks, and they play the Blue Jackets next. The Sabres have won 3 straight games.

The Buffalo Sabres are averaging 3.07 goals per game and are scoring 17 percent of their power play opportunities. Tage Thompson leads Buffalo with 10 goals, Zach Benson has 11 assists, and Jack Quinn has 40 shots on goal. Defensively, the Buffalo Sabres are allowing 3.43 goals per game and are killing 68.6 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen has allowed 33 goals on 261 shots faced, and Colten Ellis has given up 14 goals on 117 shots.

Why the Buffalo Sabres will win

  • The Sabres have won six of their last seven games against the Senators.
  • The Senators have lost six of their last seven games at KeyBank Center.
  • The Senators have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last six games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
  • The Sabres have covered the puck line in each of their last four games against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • The Sabres have won the third period in each of their last six games against Atlantic Division opponents.

Why the Ottawa Senators will win

  • The underdogs have won seven of the last eight games between the Senators and Sabres.
  • The Sabres have lost five of their last six games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • The underdogs have covered the puck line in eight of the Senators’ last nine games at KeyBank Center.
  • The Sabres have failed to cover the puck line in 14 of their last 16 games as home favorites.
  • The Senators have won the second period in each of their last six games as road underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents when tied after the first period.

Total Goals Facts

  • Eight of the Senators’ last nine road games against opponents on a winning streak have gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • Each of the Sabres’ last four games against Atlantic Division opponents have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • Six of the last seven games between two teams from the Atlantic Division have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Sabres’ last 15 games against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Senators’ last 16 road games against Atlantic Division opponents.

Buffalo Sabres Player Prop Facts

  • Rasmus Dahlin has scored a goal in each of his last three appearances against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • Zach Benson has recorded at least one assist in each of the Sabres’ last four games against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • Tage Thompson is the only player in the league to have recorded 6+ shots in three or more consecutive appearances this season.

Ottawa Senators Player Prop Facts

  • Drake Batherson has recorded at least one assist in each of the Senators’ last six night games.
  • Tim Stutzle has scored at least one goal in each of the Senators’ last three games against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • Shane Pinto ranks T1st in the league for shootout goals (2) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Buffalo Sabres rank 28th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (68.63%).
  • The Buffalo Sabres rank T25th in the league in power play percentage this season (17.02%).
  • The Ottawa Senators rank 31st in the league in power play percentage this season (12.31%).
  • The Ottawa Senators rank 1st in the league in penalty minutes this season (217).

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Buffalo Sabres -130

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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