Sabres vs Stars Prediction 11/14/26 NHL Picks Today

Sabres vs Stars Prediction

In this Sabres vs Stars Prediction, the Stars are coming as -135 home favorites. The Stars have been the better team this season and are coming off a bad home defeat where they conceded 8 total goals, so they are in a bounce-back situation today. They will be facing a struggling Sabres team that is 1-4 in its last 5 games and has been struggling offensively lately and will have to go up against the 5^th-best defense and the third-best penalty kill in hockey in the Dallas Stars. The price for the Stars is excellent, so get them to win at home in this one.

The Stars are 6-2 in their last 8 meetings against the Sabres and have won two of their last three meetings in Dallas. Under is 5-2 in their last 7 meetings.

Dallas Stars Preview

The Stars have 22 points this season with a 10-6-2 record and a 6-5-0 home record. They are coming off a 3-8 home loss against the Jets, a 4-3 home win against the Sharks and a 1-2 road loss against the Blue Jackets, and will face the Panthers and Golden Knights next.

Offensively, the Stars are averaging 2.83 goals per game with 26.5 shots on goal per game and are scoring 26.2% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 2.61 goals per game on 23.3 shots on goal per game and are killing 88.5% of their opponent’s power plays. They have 168 total penalty minutes this season.

Mikko Rantanen leads the Stars with 21 points, adding 12 assists and a team-high 9 goals with 34 shots on goal, while Wyatt Johnston leads the team in assists with 13 and has 16 points and Jason Robertson also leads the team in goals with 9 with 57 shots on goal and 20 points. Roope Hintz follows with 8 goals, 9 assists and 17 points, while Thomas Harley adds 13 points with 2 goals and 11 assists. Jake Oettinger is the starting goalie for the Stars, and he has a 9-4-1 record, with 2.33 GAA and .895 SV%. Casey DeSmith is the backup goalie and he has a 1-2-1 record, with 2.70 GAA and .894 SV%.

Buffalo Sabres Preview

The Sabres have 20 points this season with an 8-7-4 record and a 4-1-4 road record. They are coming off a 2-3 road loss against the Blackhawks, a 3-8 home loss against the Lightning and a 1-4 home loss against the Golden Knights, and will face the Flyers and Capitals next.

Offensively, the Sabres are averaging 2.89 goals per game with 28.3 shots on goal per game and are scoring 15.9% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.53 goals per game on 26.7 shots on goal per game and are killing 69.7% of their opponent’s power plays. They have 176 total penalty minutes this season.

Tage Thompson leads the Sabres with 21 points, adding 9 assists and a team-high 12 goals with 75 shots on goal, while Zach Benson leads the team in assists with 13 and has 15 points. Jack Quinn follows with 9 goals, 10 assists and 19 points, while Owen Power adds 15 points with 3 goals and 12 assists and Noah Ostlund adds 11 points with 4 goals and 7 assists. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen is the starting goalie for the Sabres, and he has a 5-4-3 record, with 3.51 GAA and .867 SV%. Colten Ellis is the backup goalie and he has a 3-3-0 record, with 3.39 GAA and .873 SV%.

Buffalo Sabres @ Dallas Stars Betting Trends: November 14, 2026

Why the Dallas Stars will win

• The Stars have won four of their last five games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The Sabres have lost each of their last three games.
• The Sabres have failed to cover the puck line in four of their last five games against Central Division opponents.
• The Stars have won the second period in eight of their last 10 games as favorites against Atlantic Division opponents when trailing after the first period.

Why the Buffalo Sabres will win

• The Sabres have won 17 of their last 24 games as road underdogs.
• The Stars have lost four of their last seven games as favorites against opponents on a losing streak.
• The Stars have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last 10 games at American Airlines Center against opponents on a losing streak.
• The Sabres have covered the puck line in 22 of their last 24 games as road underdogs.
• The Stars have lost the second period in four of their last five night games at American Airlines Center when tied after the first period.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Sabres’ last four night games against Central Division opponents have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Five of the last six night games between the Sabres and Stars at American Airlines Center have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Sabres’ last 10 games as underdogs.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Stars’ last eight games as favorites against the Sabres.

Dallas Stars Player Prop Facts

• Mikko Rantanen has scored a goal in six of his last seven appearances with his team as a home favorite against the Sabres.
• Matt Duchene has recorded at least one assist in each of his last four appearances in night games.
• Wyatt Johnston has recorded three assists against the Sabres this season – most against any opponent.

Buffalo Sabres Player Prop Facts

• Tage Thompson has scored at least one goal in each of the Sabres’ last four road games against Central Division opponents.
• Rasmus Dahlin has recorded at least one assist in each of his last four appearances with the Sabres as road underdogs.
• Olen Zellweger has recorded 11 career hits against the Stars – most against any opponent (including playoffs).

Matchup/League Facts

• The Dallas Stars rank 8th in the league in power play percentage this season (26.19%).
• The Dallas Stars rank T1st in the league in short handed goals allowed this season (0).
• The Buffalo Sabres rank 27th in the league for goals against per game this season (3.53).
• The Buffalo Sabres have recorded the most wins when trailing after Period 2 this season (3).