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San Jose Sharks vs Toronto Maple Leafs prediction 1-6-24 NHL Picks

San Jose Sharks (9-27-3) vs Toronto Maple Leafs (19-10-7)
2024-01-06 19:00:00 EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: San Jose Sharks +225 / Toronto Maple Leafs -280 --- Over/Under: 6.5
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The Toronto Maple Leafs will play the San Jose Sharks on Saturday night at the SAP Center in San Jose, California. Toronto has won two games in a row, while San Jose has lost 10 straight games. Let’s take a look at the betting matchup and the Maple Leafs vs Sharks prediction.

Maple Leafs Preview

The Toronto Maple Leafs are 19-10-7 this year after they defeated Anaheim in overtime by a score of 2-1 in their last game. Toronto trailed 1-0 in the third period, but tied the game and got the win in overtime. The Maple Leafs out shot Anaheim by a total of 57-28 and went 1-5 on the power play in the game. Toronto defeated the Kings by a score of 3-0 in the game prior to Anaheim, but lost the three games before that. The Maple Leafs are scoring 3.47 goals per game and they are allowing 3.28 goals against per game, while going 24.5% on the power play and 78.7% on the penalty kill. William Nylander has led Toronto with 19 goals, 32 assists, and 158 shots on goal. The projected starting goalie for Toronto is Martin Jones, who is 6-3-0 this year with a 2.20 goals against average and a .930 save percentage. 

Sharks Preview

The San Jose Sharks are 9-27-3 this season after they lost to Winnipeg by a score of 2-1 in their last game. San Jose led 1-0 in the second period, but couldn’t find the back of the net again in the loss. The Sharks were out shot by a total of 30-28 and went 0-2 on the power play in the game. San Jose has also lost to Detroit, Colorado (twice), Edmonton, LA (twice), Vancouver, and Arizona (twice) during this losing streak. The Sharks are scoring 2.03 goals per game and they are allowing 4.03 goals against per game, while going 18.6% on the power play and 72.9% on the penalty kill. Tomas Hertl has led San Jose with 13 goals, 15 assists, and 96 shots on goal. The projected starting goalie for San Jose is Mackenzie Blackwood, who is 4-15-2 this season with a 3.84 goals against average and a .891 save percentage. 

San Jose Sharks Team Facts

The Sharks have lost each of their last nine games following a loss.
The Sharks have failed to cover the puck line in eight of their last nine games.
The Sharks have lost the third period in each of their last four day games following a loss.
The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Sharks’ last six day games.

Toronto Maple Leafs Team Facts

The underdogs have won three of the Maple Leafs’ last four games at SAP Center at San Jose.
The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in 15 of their last 16 games as favorites against opponents on a losing streak.
The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Maple Leafs’ last three day games against opponents on a losing streak.
The underdogs have won the third period in four of the Maple Leafs’ last five games.

San Jose Sharks Player Prop Facts

Logan Couture has recorded at least one point in seven of his last eight appearances with the Sharks as home underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents.
Logan Couture has recorded an assist in four of the Sharks’ last five games as underdogs against the Maple Leafs.
Tomas Hertl has the most multi-goal games for the Sharks this season (3).

Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts

Auston Matthews has scored at least one goal in eight of the Maple Leafs’ last nine games as favorites against the Sharks.
Mark Giordano has recorded a point in seven of his last eight appearances in day games.
William Nylander has recorded at least one assist in 11 of the Maple Leafs’ last 12 games as favorites.
Auston Matthews ranks 1st in the league for multi-goal games (10) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

The San Jose Sharks rank 28th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (72.93%).
The San Jose Sharks rank 32nd in the league for shots per game this season (25.4).
The Toronto Maple Leafs are one of only four teams to win a game when trailing by 2 or more goals after Period 1 this season.
The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 4th in the league for Period 2 goals scored per game this season (1.22).

Maple Leafs vs Sharks Betting Prediction

San Jose comes into this game looking to end their 10 game losing streak, but they will have their hands full with a very talented Toronto team here. The Sharks are 6-11-2 at home this year and they have lost eight of their last ten games by at least two goals. Toronto has won two games in a row, but they have been pretty inconsistent over the last few weeks. I don’t trust the Maple Leafs with how they have played recently, but I simply can’t take the Sharks with how they have played this year. Take Toronto -1.5 in this matchup. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Maple Leafs -1.5

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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