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Senators vs Avalanche Prediction 1/8/26 NHL Picks Today

Ottawa Senators (20-17-5) vs. Colorado Avalanche (31-4-7)
January 8, 2026 9:00 pm EDT
The Line: Colorado Avalanche -265 / Ottawa Senators 215; Over/Under: 6.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Senators vs Avalanche Prediction for this NHL game on Thursday, January 8th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Colorado Avalanche Preview

The Avalanche have 69 points this season with a 31-4-7 record, and are 23-19 ATS and 18-24 in over/under. They have a 17-0-2 home record and a 14-4-5 road record and are sitting 1st in the Central Division. They are coming off a 4-2 road loss to the Lightning, and their previous three games were a 2-1 road loss to the Panthers, a 5-3 road win over the Hurricanes, and a 6-1 home win over the Blues.

Offensively, the Avalanche are averaging 3.95 goals per game and are scoring 16.1% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 2.21 goals per game and are killing 85.0% of their opponent’s power plays.

Nathan MacKinnon leads the Avalanche with 74 points, also leading the team in goals with 35, adding a team-high 39 assists. Scott Wedgewood is the starting goalie for the Avalanche, and he has a 18-3-4 record, with 2.20 GAA and .917 SV%. Mackenzie Blackwood is the backup goalie and he has a 13-1-1 record, with 2.07 GAA and .924 SV%.

Ottawa Senators Preview

The Senators have 45 points this season with a 20-17-5 record, and are 16-26 ATS and 25-17 in over/under. They have a 10-8-3 home record and a 10-9-2 road record and are sitting 8th in the Atlantic Division. They are coming off a 3-1 road loss to the Mammoth, and their previous three games were a 5-3 home loss to the Red Wings, a 4-2 home win over the Jets, and a 4-3 home win over the Capitals.

Offensively, the Senators are averaging 3.19 goals per game and are scoring 24.1% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.26 goals per game and are killing 73.8% of their opponent’s power plays.

Tim Stutzle leads the Senators with 45 points, also leading the team in goals with 19, adding a team-high 26 assists. Linus Ullmark is the starting goalie for the Senators, and he has a 14-8-5 record, with 2.95 GAA and .881 SV%. Leevi Merilainen is the backup goalie and he has a 6-8 record, with 3.47 GAA and .868 SV%.

Ottawa Senators @ Colorado Avalanche Betting Trends: January 8, 2026

 

Why the Colorado Avalanche will win

  • The Avalanche have won each of their last 15 home games.
  • The Senators have lost each of their last six games at Ball Arena.
  • The Avalanche have covered the puck line in seven of their last eight home games against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • The Senators have failed to cover the puck line in six of their last seven games.
  • The Senators have lost the second period in each of their last six games against Western Conference opponents when leading after the first period.

Why the Ottawa Senators will win

  • The Senators have won three of their last four games as underdogs on the second leg of a back-to-back.
  • The Avalanche have lost each of their last two games as favorites against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back.
  • The Senators have covered the puck line in each of their last 12 games as underdogs against opponents on a losing streak.
  • The Senators have won the third period in four of their last five games as underdogs when leading after the second period.

Total Goals Facts

  • Seven of the last eight games between the Senators and Avalanche have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • Seven of the Senators’ last eight road games against opponents on a losing streak have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in each of the Avalanche’s last seven home games against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Senators’ last nine games at Ball Arena.

Colorado Avalanche Player Prop Facts

  • Nathan MacKinnon has scored at least one goal in eight of the Avalanche’s last 10 home games.
  • Cale Makar has recorded at least one assist in each of the Avalanche’s last 14 Thursday games.

Ottawa Senators Player Prop Facts

  • David Perron has scored at least one goal in three of his last four road appearances against the Avalanche.
  • Jake Sanderson has recorded an assist in each of the Senators’ last four games.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Colorado Avalanche rank 1st in the league for goals per game this season (3.95).
  • The Colorado Avalanche rank 1st in the league for goals against per game this season (2.21).
  • The Ottawa Senators rank 31st in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (73.77%).
  • The Ottawa Senators rank 7th in the league in power play percentage this season (24.11%).

Senators vs Avalanche Prediction

The Avalanche are 9-1 in their last 10 meetings against the Senators and the over is 7-0-1 in their last 8 meetings.

In this Senators vs Avalanche Prediction, the Avalanche are coming as -270 home favorites. The Avalanche have been the best team in hockey this season, having the most points, wins and have an insane 17-0-2 home record so far. They are also the best team both offensively and defensively and are facing a Senators squad that is just 2-5 in their last 7 games and have been dominating them historically, with the last Senators win in this matchup going back to 2021. Take the Avalanche to dominate this game and cover the puckline.

Nikos Lagouretos's Free Pick: Colorado Avalanche -1.5

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