Senators vs Canadiens Prediction 4/11/25 NHL Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Senators vs Canadiens prediction for this NHL game on Friday, April 11, at Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa, ON. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Montreal Canadiens Betting Preview

The Montreal Canadiens (39-30-9, 45-33 ATS) are playing their best hockey of the season, and this positive form came when they needed it the most. The Canadiens won the last six games, defeating the Panthers (twice), Bruins, Flyers, Predators, and Red Wings. Montreal needs two more points to secure the playoffs; the Habs will enter the postseason from the WC 1 or WC 2 position.

The Canadiens average 3.00 goals per game this year (14th), while they allow 3.21 GPG (24th). Nick Suzuki leads the team with 86 points (28 G and 58 A). Cole Caufield contributes 67 points (37 G and 30 A), while Lane Hutson has 64 points (6 G and 58 A).

Sam Montembeault (30-23-6) will likely take his place in the cage for the Canadiens on Friday against the Senators. The 28-year-old is allowing 2.81 goals per game this year with a .902 SV% and four shutouts.

Ottawa Senators Betting Preview

The Ottawa Senators (42-30-6, 33-45 ATS) were on a four-game homestay, during which they beat the Lightning, Panthers, and Blue Jackets and lost to the Sabres. Ottawa lost to Columbus in the most recent game and will spend the remaining four at home. At the moment, the Senators occupy the WC 1 spot in the East and will go to the Maple Leafs in the first round of the playoffs.

The Senators score 2.86 goals per game on average (22nd), while they concede 2.80 GPG (10th). This season, Tim Stutzle leads the team with 72 points (21 G and 51 A). Drake Batherson has 62 points (22 G and 40 A), while Brady Tkachuk chips in with 55 points (29 G and 26 A).

Linus Ullmark (23-14-3) is expected to start for the Senators at the goal on Friday against the Canadiens. The 31-year-old is allowing 2.68 goals per game this year with a .911 SV% and four shutouts.

Total Goals Facts

• Twelve of the last 13 games between teams from the same division have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Each of the Canadiens’ last five games following a win have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Four of the Senators’ last five home games have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in 20 of the Canadiens’ last 21 road games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Senators’ last six games as favorites against the Canadiens.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Ottawa Senators rank 5th in the league in save percentage this season (.903).
• The Ottawa Senators rank T5th in the league in short-handed goals this season (9).
• The Montreal Canadiens are one of only four teams to win 8+ games when trailing after Period 2 this season.
• The Montreal Canadiens are one of only four teams to lose a game when leading by 3 or more goals after Period 1 this season.

Senators vs Canadiens Prediction

The Senators won seven of the previous ten H2H encounters, but the Canadiens were better in each of the three H2H duels this season. The Habs scored 4+ goals in each of those victories, while the Sens scored six goals in total. This game, aside from the fact that it’s a rivalry game, is significant as it could change the playoff picture. It’s a battle for Wild Card places; with a win, the Senators will secure the WC 1 place, while the Habs look to close the gap between the teams to one point with a win here. I expect an interesting and exciting game, so give me the Over. Six of the last eight H2Hs produced 6+ goals.