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Senators vs Canadiens Prediction 12/2/25 NHL Picks Today

Ottawa Senators (12-9-4) vs. Montreal Canadiens (13-8-3)
December 2, 2025 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Montreal Canadiens -105 / Ottawa Senators -115; Over/Under: 6.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Senators vs Canadiens Prediction for this NHL game on Tuesday, December 2nd. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Montreal Canadiens Preview

The Canadiens have 29 points this season with a 13-8-3 record, and are 11-13 ATS and 17-5 in over/under. They have a 6-5-1 home record and a 7-3-2 road record and are sitting 3rd in the Atlantic Division. They are coming off a 7-2 road loss to the Avalanche and their previous three games, they had a win against the Golden Knights, a win against the Mammoth, and a win against the Maple Leafs.

Offensively, the Canadiens are averaging 3.42 goals per game and are scoring 23.5% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.54 goals per game and are killing 76.5% of their opponent’s power plays.

Nick Suzuki leads the Canadiens with 28 points, also leading the team in assists with 21, while Cole Caufield leads the team in goals with 14. Jakub Dobes is the starting goalie for the Canadiens, and he has an 8-3-2 record, with 3.22 GAA and .888 SV%. Samuel Montembeault is the backup goalie and he has a 5-5-1 record, with 3.49 GAA and .864 SV%.

Ottawa Senators Preview

The Senators have 28 points this season with a 12-9-4 record, and are 8-17 ATS and 15-10 in over/under. They have a 6-3-2 home record and a 6-6-2 road record and are sitting 4th in the Atlantic Division. They are coming off a 6-1 road loss to the Stars and their previous three games, they had a loss against the Blues, a win against the Golden Knights, and a loss against the Kings.

Offensively, the Senators are averaging 3.04 goals per game and are scoring 21.8% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.36 goals per game and are killing 69.9% of their opponent’s power plays.

Tim Stützle leads the Senators with 23 points, while Shane Pinto leads the team in goals with 12, and Jake Sanderson adds a team-high 15 assists. Linus Ullmark is the starting goalie for the Senators, and he has a 9-6-4 record, with 3.10 GAA and .874 SV%. Leevi Merilainen is the backup goalie and he has a 3-3-0 record, with 3.40 GAA and .874 SV%.

Ottawa Senators @ Montreal Canadiens Betting Trends: December 2, 2025

 

Why the Montreal Canadiens will win

  • The Senators have lost eight of their last nine games as road favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • The Canadiens have won five of their last six games as home underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • The Senators have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last 12 games as road favorites.
  • The Canadiens have covered the puck line in eight of their last nine games as home underdogs following a road loss.
  • The Senators have lost the second period in each of their last six games when leading after the first period.

Why the Ottawa Senators will win

  • The Canadiens have lost five of their last six games against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • The Senators have won four of their last five games against the Canadiens following a road loss.
  • The Canadiens have failed to cover the puck line in eight of their last nine night games against opponents on a losing streak.
  • The Senators have covered the puck line in five of their last six games against the Canadiens following a road loss.
  • The Senators have won the third period in each of their last five games against Atlantic Division opponents when leading after the second period.

Total Goals Facts

  • Twelve of the Canadiens’ last 13 night games have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • Seven of the Senators’ last eight games against Atlantic Division opponents have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in each of the last eight games between the Senators and Canadiens.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Senators’ last seven games as favorites against the Canadiens.

Montreal Canadiens Player Prop Facts

  • Oliver Kapanen has scored a goal in each of the Canadiens’ last four games as underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • Cole Caufield has recorded an assist in each of the Canadiens’ last six games.
  • Cole Caufield has recorded at least one point in each of the Canadiens’ last seven games.
  • Cole Caufield ranks 2nd in the league for multi-goal games (5) this season.

Ottawa Senators Player Prop Facts

  • Jake Sanderson has recorded an assist in five of the Senators’ last six games as favorites.
  • Shane Pinto has recorded at least one point in each of the Senators’ last seven games against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • Tim Stutzle has scored at least one goal in four of the Senators’ last five games against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • Drake Batherson has scored 12 career goals against the Canadiens – most against any opponent (including playoffs).

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Montreal Canadiens rank 4th in the league for goals per game this season (3.42).
  • The Montreal Canadiens rank 28th in the league for goals against per game this season (3.54).
  • The Ottawa Senators rank 31st in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (69.86%).
  • The Ottawa Senators rank 25th in the league for goals against per game this season (3.36).

Senators vs Canadiens Prediction

In their previous meeting earlier this season the Canadiens won 4-3 at home in overtime and are 4-1 in their last 5 meetings against the Senators. Over is 8-2 in their last 10 meetings.

In this Senators vs Canadiens Prediction, the Senators are coming as -115 road favorites. Both teams have almost identical overall records and exactly six home/away wins, but the Canadiens are coming into this matchup in better form, as they are 3-1 in their last 4 games, while the Senators are 1-3 in their last 4 games and this will be their seventh consecutive game on the road. The Canadiens have won their last three home meetings against the Senators and given both teams’ recent form, I like them to win this one as well. Take the Canadiens on the moneyline in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Free Pick: Montreal Canadiens ML

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