Senators vs Capitals Prediction 1/16/25 NHL Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Senators vs Capitals prediction for this NHL game on Thursday, January 16th at the Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa, Ontario. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup. 

Ottawa Senators Betting Preview

The Ottawa Senators are 22-18-3 this year after they defeated the Islanders by a score of 2-0 in their last game. Ottawa scored once in the second and once in the third for the shutout win. The Senators outshot New York by a total of 27-24, won 39.3% of the face-offs, and went 0-1 on the power play in the game. Ottawa got goals from Gaudette and Zub, while Merilainen stopped all 24 shots that he faced in the game. 

Prior to that win, the Senators defeated the Stars by a score of 3-2 and the Penguins by a score of 5-0. Ottawa has won three games in a row, but they did lose the previous four games in a row, and they are currently fifth in the Atlantic standings with 47 points. Ottawa has scored 2.88 goals per game and they have allowed 2.77 goals against per game, while also going 23.7% on the power play and 78.6% on the penalty kill this season. Tim Stutzle has led Ottawa with 14 goals, 29 assists, and 86 shots on goal, while Drake Batherson has added 14 goals, 25 assists, and 94 shots on goal this year. Anton Forsberg is 4-8-1 with a 3.10 goals-against average and an .883 save percentage this season. 

Washington Capitals Betting Preview

The Washington Capitals are 29-10-5 this season after they defeated Anaheim by a score of 3-0 in their last game. Washington scored twice in the first period and once in the second in the shutout win. The Capitals outshot Anaheim by a total of 25-19, won 53.5% of the face-offs, and went 0-2 on the power play in the game. Washington got goals from Duhaime, Frank, and Carlson, while Thompson stopped all 19 shots that he faced in the win. 

Prior to that game, the Capitals defeated the Predators by a score of 4-1 but did lose to the Canadiens by a score of 3-2 before that. Washington has won four of their last six games and they are currently first in the Metro standings with 63 points. Washington has scored 3.61 goals per game and they have allowed 2.52 goals against per game, while also going 23.6% on the power play and 83.6% on the penalty kill this season. Dylan Strome has led Washington with 12 goals, 34 assists, and 75 shots on goal, while Aliaksei Protas has added 18 goals, 18 assists, and 77 shots on goal this year. Logan Thompson is 19-2-3 with a 2.23 goals against average and a .921 save percentage this season. 

Why the Senators will beat the Capitals

• The Capitals have lost four of their last five games as favorites following a win.
• The Senators have won four of their last five games as home underdogs.
• The Capitals have failed to cover the puck line in eight of their last nine games at Canadian Tire Centre following a home win.
• The Senators have covered the puck line in seven of their last eight games against the Capitals.
• The Capitals have lost the third period in each of their last four games at Canadian Tire Centre following a win.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Senators’ last six games has gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Each of the Capitals’ last four games has gone UNDER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Capitals’ last nine games at Canadian Tire Centre.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in 13 of the Senators’ last 14 home games against opponents on a winning streak.

Ottawa Senators Player Prop Facts

• Jake Sanderson has recorded at least one point in each of the Senators’ last six games as home underdogs.
• Jake Sanderson has recorded at least one assist in each of the Senators’ last six games as home underdogs.
• Joshua Norris has scored at least one goal in three of the Senators’ last four games as home underdogs.

Washington Capitals Player Prop Facts

• Jakob Chychrun has recorded at least one point in each of the Capitals’ last 10 games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
• Nicklas Backstrom has recorded at least one assist in eight of his last nine appearances with the Capitals as favorites against the Senators.
• T.J. Oshie has scored at least one goal in each of his last four appearances with the Capitals as favorites against the Senators.

Senators vs Capitals Prediction 

Ottawa comes into this matchup on a three-game winning streak and they will be at home for this contest. The Senators are 11-7-1 at home this year, while the Capitals are 14-6-1 on the road. Washington has been a bit inconsistent over the last few weeks, but they are still one of the best defensive teams in the NHL. On the other side, Ottawa is a pretty low-scoring team, but their defense has been great over their last three games, as they have allowed a total of two goals in those three wins. I really like how Ottawa is playing right now and I think they can bottle up the Capitals in this matchup, so give me the Senators to get the win.