Senators vs Lightning Prediction 4/3/25 NHL Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Senators vs Lightning prediction for this NHL game on Thursday, April 3, at Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa, ON. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Lightning (44-25-5, 40-34 ATS) responded to a pair of defeats to the Hockey Club and Golden Knights with four consecutive wins over the Penguins, Hockey Club, and Islanders. Tampa Bay beat the Isles in a back-to-back set and is currently on a four-game road trip. The Lightning are 2nd in the Atlantic Division Standings with 93 points, three behind the Maple Leafs.

The Lightning score 3.59 goals per game on average (2nd), while they concede 2.62 GPG (5th). This season, Nikita Kucherov leads the team with 111 points (33 G and 78 A). Brandon Hagel has 81 points (33 G and 48 A), while Brayden Point chips in with 75 points (38 G and 37 A).

Andrei Vasilevskiy (36-19-3) is expected to start for the Lightning at the goal on Thursday against the Senators. The 30-year-old is allowing 2.16 goals per game this year with a .922 SV% and six shutouts.

Ottawa Senators Betting Preview

The Ottawa Senators (39-29-6, 30-44 ATS) have not been playing well recently; they lost five of the previous eight games. Ottawa beat the Red Wings and Blue Jackets before losing to the Penguins and Sabres. The Senators will play eight of the remaining nine regular-season games at home. Ottawa is 4th in the Atlantic Division Standings with 84 points, 12 behind the top-placed Maple Leafs.

The Senators average 2.86 goals per game this year (20th), while they allow 2.87 GPG (13th). Tim Stutzle leads the team with 71 points (21 G and 50 A). Drake Batherson contributes 59 points (21 G and 38 A), while Brady Tkachuk has 55 points (29 G and 26 A).

Linus Ullmark (21-14-3) will likely take his place in the cage for the Senators on Thursday against the Lightning. The 31-year-old is allowing 2.80 goals per game this year with a .907 SV% and three shutouts.

Total Goals Facts

• Eight of the last nine night games between the Lightning and Senators at Canadian Tire Centre have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Each of the Lightning’s last five night games against the Senators following a road win have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Six of the last eight games between teams from the same division have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2’ market has hit in each of the Lightning’s last 10 games at Canadian Tire Centre.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2’ market has hit in 19 of the last 20 games between the Lightning and Senators.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Ottawa Senators rank T1st in the league in short-handed goals allowed this season (3).
• The Ottawa Senators rank 4th in the league for power-play goals this season (55).
• The Tampa Bay Lightning rank 2nd in the league for goals per game this season (3.59).
• The Tampa Bay Lightning are one of only three teams in the league to rank top 5 for both goals for and goals against per game this season.

Senators vs Lightning Prediction

The Senators won six of the previous ten H2H encounters, including three of the last five. Ottawa won the opening H2H of the season, but Tampa Bay was better in the following two duels. Seven of the last ten H2H meetings went Over, including all three this season. Neither team has secured a playoff spot, but the Lightning are very close; they need just one more win, unlike the Senators, who still need multiple wins. Luckily for them, they are playing the majority of the remaining games at home, but I am not backing the winner here. Go with Over.