Toronto Maple Leafs (44-20-10) vs. Ottawa Senators (37-33-5)
April 1, 2023 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Ottawa Senators +120 / Toronto Maple Leafs -140; Over/Under: +6.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Toronto Maple Leafs and the Ottawa Senators meet in NHL action from the Canadian Tire Center on Saturday night. Let’s dive into the odds, injuries, matchup history and make a prediction for this game.
Odds
Toronto is listed as a -140 road favorite while Ottawa is a +120 home underdog. The total for this game is set at 6.5 goals.
Injuries
For Toronto, Noel Acciari is out for this game and Victor Mete and Ryan O’Reilly are both out until mid-April. Erik Gustafsson is questionable for this game as well. For Ottawa, Derick Brassard and Travis Hamonic are both doubtful for this game while Thomas Chabot and Jakob Chychrun are both out until mid-April.
Matchup History
Toronto’s 5-4 shootout win over Ottawa back on March 18th, 2023, made it five wins in the last six head-to-head meetings for the Leafs between these two teams.
Trends
Toronto is 20-7 in their last 7 games after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game and 19-7 in their last 26 games when their opponent scored 5 goals or more in their previous game while the over is 5-2 in their last 7 games overall. Ottawa is 7-2 in their last 9 home games and 13-4 in their last 17 games against the Atlantic division while the over is 6-0 in their last 6 Saturday games.
Pick
I’m backing Ottawa +1.5 here. You may have to pay a bit of juice on it, but the Senators have a tendency of keeping these battle of Ontario games close at the very least and I’m just not fond of Toronto’s goaltending situation right now. The Leafs can score if nothing else, but I don’t think they blow Ottawa away here. Give me the Senators +1.5 here.
