Senators vs Maple Leafs Prediction 4/15/26 NHL Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Senators vs Maple Leafs prediction for this NHL game on Wednesday, April 15th at the Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa, Ontario. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Ottawa Senators Betting Preview

The Ottawa Senators are 43-27-11 this season after they lost to the Devils in overtime by a score of 4-3 in their last game. Ottawa scored three goals in the second period to lead 3-2, but they allowed a shorthanded goal in the third and lost in OT. The Senators recorded 30 shots on goal, won 58.2% of the face-offs, and went 1-4 on the power play in the game. Ottawa got goals from Amadio, Pinto, and Zetterlund, while Reimer stopped 26 out of 30 shots, which was an .867 save percentage. 

Prior to that game, Ottawa defeated the Islanders by a score of 3-0 and the Panthers by a score of 5-1. The Senators have won four of their last five games and they are currently fifth in the Atlantic standings with 97 points. Ottawa has scored 3.36 goals per game and they have allowed 3.01 goals against per game, while also going 23.5% on the power play and 75.6% on the penalty kill this season. Tim Stutzle has led Ottawa with 34 goals and 49 assists, while Drake Batherson has added 32 goals and 38 assists. The projected starting goalie for Ottawa is Linus Ullmark, who is 28-12-8 with a 2.73 goals against average and an .891 save percentage this season. 

Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Preview

The Toronto Maple Leafs are 32-35-14 this year after they lost to the Stars by a score of 6-5 in their last game. Toronto led 3-0 after the first period and 5-3 in the third, but they allowed three goals in the last 12 minutes for the loss. The Maple Leafs were out shot by a total of 32-27, won 39.6% of the face-offs, and went 1-2 on the power play in the game. Toronto got goals from Domi, Nylander, Quillan, Robertson, and Tavares, while Akhtyamov stopped 27 out of 32 shots, which was an .844 save percentage. 

Prior to that game, Toronto lost to the Panthers by a score of 6-2 and the Islanders by a score of 5-3. The Maple Leafs have lost six games in a row and they are currently last in the Atlantic standings with 78 points. Toronto has scored 3.10 goals per game and they have allowed 3.61 goals against per game, while also going 21.5% on the power play and 81.9% on the penalty kill this season. William Nylander has led Toronto with 29 goals and 49 assists, while Matthew Knies has added 23 goals and 43 assists. The projected starting goalie for Toronto is Joseph Woll, who is 15-16-7 with a 3.34 goals against average and an .899 save percentage this year. 

Why the Ottawa Senators will win

• The Maple Leafs have lost each of their last 12 games following a home loss.
• The Senators have won seven of their last eight night games at Canadian Tire Centre.
• The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last seven games when playing with a rest disadvantage against Senators.
• Senators has covered the puck line in each of its last seven home matches when playing with a rest advantage against Maple Leafs.
• The Senators have won the third period in each of their last six night games at Canadian Tire Centre when leading after the second period.

Why the Toronto Maple Leafs will win

• The underdogs have won four of the Maple Leafs’ last six games at Canadian Tire Centre.
• The Senators have lost four of their last seven games as home favorites against opponents on a losing streak.
• The underdogs have covered the puck line in 14 of the Maple Leafs’ last 16 games at Canadian Tire Centre.
• The Senators have failed to cover the puck line in 15 of their last 19 games as home favorites after coming off overtime.
• The Maple Leafs have won the third period in each of their last four road games against Atlantic Division opponents when leading after the second period.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the last four games between the Maple Leafs and Senators have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Each of the Maple Leafs’ last four games as underdogs following a home loss have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Six of the last eight night games between teams from the same division have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Maple Leafs’ last nine games against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Senators’ last nine home games.

Ottawa Senators Player Prop Facts

• Jake Sanderson has recorded at least one assist in nine of his last 10 home appearances against Eastern Conference opponents.
• Shane Pinto has scored a goal in four of the Senators’ last five night games.

Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts

• William Nylander has recorded at least one assist in each of the Maple Leafs’ last six games as road underdogs against the Senators.
• William Nylander has scored at least one goal in three of the Maple Leafs’ last four games against the Senators.

Senators vs Maple Leafs Prediction 

Ottawa comes into this matchup locked into the second wild card spot in the East and they have won four of their last five games. The Senators are 22-12-6 at home this year, while the Maple Leafs are 14-20-6 on the road. Toronto has lost six games in a row and they have allowed 5+ in four of those six losses. The Maple Leafs have had solid offensive production, but their defense and goaltending has been terrible. Take the over here.