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Senators vs Panthers Prediction 3/31/26 NHL Picks Today

Ottawa Senators (38-25-10) vs. Florida Panthers (35-35-3)
March 31, 2026 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Florida Panthers 142 / Ottawa Senators -170; Over/Under: 5.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Senators vs Panthers Prediction for this NHL game on Tuesday, March 31st. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Florida Panthers Preview

The Panthers have 73 points this season with a 35-35-3 record, and are 26-46 ATS and 40-30 in over/under. They have a 19-15-3 home record and a 16-20-0 road record and are sitting 8th in the Atlantic Division. They are coming off a 3-1 road loss to the Rangers, and their previous three games were a 5-2 road loss to the Islanders, a 3-2 home loss to the Wild, and a 5-4 home shootout win over the Kraken.

Offensively, the Panthers are averaging 2.89 goals per game and are scoring 19.3% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.33 goals per game and are killing 81.6% of their opponent’s power plays.

Sam Reinhart leads the Panthers with 61 points and 29 goals, adding a team-high 32 assists. Sergei Bobrovsky is the starting goalie for the Panthers, and he has a 26-21-1 record, with 3.00 GAA and .878 SV%. Daniil Tarasov is the backup goalie and he has a 9-14-2 record, with 3.10 GAA and .897 SV%.

Ottawa Senators Preview

The Senators have 86 points this season with a 38-25-10 record, and are 33-40 ATS and 39-33 in over/under. They have a 18-11-6 home record and a 20-14-4 road record and are sitting 5th in the Atlantic Division. They are coming off a 4-2 road loss to the Lightning, and their previous three games were a 4-3 home shootout loss to the Penguins, a 3-2 road win over the Red Wings, and a 2-1 road win over the Rangers.

Offensively, the Senators are averaging 3.30 goals per game and are scoring 22.9% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.06 goals per game and are killing 75.2% of their opponent’s power plays.

Tim Stutzle leads the Senators with 75 points and 32 goals, adding a team-high 43 assists. Linus Ullmark is the starting goalie for the Senators, and he has a 23-10-8 record, with 2.75 GAA and .889 SV%. James Reimer is the backup goalie and he has a 6-4-1 record, with 2.48 GAA and .881 SV%.

Ottawa Senators @ Florida Panthers Betting Trends: March 31, 2026

 

Why the Florida Panthers will win

  • The Panthers have won seven of their last eight games as underdogs following a road loss.
  • The Senators have lost each of their last seven games at Amerant Bank Arena.
  • The Senators have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last eight games as an away favorite when playing with a rest advantage.
  • The underdogs have covered the puck line in 12 of the Panthers’ last 13 games at Amerant Bank Arena.
  • The Senators have lost the second period in each of their last six games at Amerant Bank Arena when leading after the first period.

Why the Ottawa Senators will win

  • The Panthers have lost six of their last seven games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
  • The Senators have won five of their last six road games following a road loss.
  • The Panthers have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last seven home games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
  • Senators has covered the puck line in each of its last four road matches when playing with a rest advantage against Panthers.
  • The Panthers have lost the second period in each of their last six night games against Eastern Conference opponents.

Total Goals Facts

  • Each of the Senators’ last six games as favorites following a road loss have gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • Six of the Panthers’ last seven games as underdogs following a road loss have gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • Seven of the last eight Tuesday night games between two teams from the Eastern Conference have gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Senators’ last 12 road games against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Panthers’ last 12 games against Atlantic Division opponents.

Florida Panthers Player Prop Facts

  • Anton Lundell has scored a goal in each of the Panthers’ last four home games against the Senators.
  • Sam Reinhart has recorded at least one assist in each of his last six appearances with the Panthers as home underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • Sam Reinhart has scored the last goal in four of his last five appearances with the Panthers as home underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • Aaron Ekblad has recorded three assists against the Senators this season – most against any opponent.

Ottawa Senators Player Prop Facts

  • Drake Batherson has scored at least one goal in each of the Senators’ last four games as road favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • Brady Tkachuk has recorded an assist in each of the Senators’ last seven road games against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • Shane Pinto has scored two goals against the Panthers this season – equal-most against any opponent.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Florida Panthers rank 27th in the league for goals against per game this season (3.33).
  • The Florida Panthers rank 8th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (81.56%).
  • The Ottawa Senators rank 29th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (75.23%).
  • The Ottawa Senators rank 32nd in the league in save percentage this season (.879).

Senators vs Panthers Prediction

The Panthers have won both meetings against the Senators this season, at home by 6-2 and on the road by 3-2 and are 8-2 in their last 10 meetings.

In this Senators vs Panthers Prediction, the Senators are coming as -168 road favorites. The Panthers are second to last in the East and are just waiting for a disappointing season to end. They are 2-8 in their last 10 games and are playing a Senators squad that are one spot behind the playoff places of the East and need every win they can get. They have back-to-back losses but were 6-1 in their 7 games before that and this is the perfect bounce-back spot against a weaker team with no incentive. Take the Senators on the moneyline.

Nikos Lagouretos's Free Pick: Ottawa Senators ML

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