Senators vs Stars Prediction 11/11/25 NHL Picks Today

The Dallas Stars and Ottawa Senators meet Tuesday in NHL action at the Canadian Tire Centre. Here’s a Senators vs Stars Prediction. This article will include a Senators vs Stars Pick.

Dallas Stars Betting Preview

The Dallas Stars beat the Predators and Kraken, and they play the Habs next. The Stars have won 3 their last 4 games.

The Dallas Stars are averaging 2.94 goals per game and are scoring on 3287 percent of their power play opportunities. Wyatt Johnston leads Dallas with 10 goals, Mikko Rantanen has 13 assists and Jason Robertson has 63 shots on goal. Defensively, the Dallas Stars are allowing 3.13 goals per game and are killing 72.6 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Jake Oettinger has allowed 33 goals on 309 shots faced, while Casey DeSmith has given up 14 goals on 136 shots.

Ottawa Senators Betting Preview

The Ottawa Senators beat the Flyers and Mammoth, and they play the Bruins next. The Senators have won 6 of their last 9 games.

The Ottawa Senators are averaging 3.64 goals per game and are scoring 31.7 percent of their power play opportunities. Shane Pinto leads Ottawa with 8 goals, Jake Sanderson has 8 assists and Tim Stutzle has 44 shots on goal. Defensively, the Ottawa Senators are allowing 4 goals per game and are killing 63.6 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Linus Ullmark has allowed 43 goals on 321 shots faced, while Leevi Merilainen has given up 11 goals on 85 shots.

Why the Ottawa Senators will win

• The Senators have won each of their last six games as home underdogs against the Stars.
• The Stars have lost each of their last eight games at Canadian Tire Centre.
• The underdogs have covered the puck line in each of the Stars’ last 13 games.
• The Stars have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last 11 games as favorites.
• The Senators have won the second period in each of their last five games following a win.

Why the Dallas Stars will win

• The Senators have lost four of their last five games against Central Division opponents.
• The favorites have won eight of the Stars’ last nine games.
• The Senators have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last four home games against opponents on a winning streak.
• The road team has covered the puck line in six of the Stars’ last seven games.
• The Stars have won the second period in each of their last five games as favorites against Atlantic Division opponents when trailing after the first period.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Senators’ last eight games following a win have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Eight of the Stars’ last nine night games at Canadian Tire Centre have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Stars’ last 10 games as favorites against opponents on a winning streak.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Senators’ last eight games following a win.

Ottawa Senators Player Prop Facts

• Michael Amadio has scored a goal in each of the Senators’ last four games.
• David Perron has recorded at least one point in each of his last seven appearances with his team as an underdog against the Stars.
• Jordan Spence has recorded at least one assist in each of his last four appearances in night games.
• Artem Zub has recorded at least four shots in each of his last zero appearances – [longest/equal-longest] active streak in the league.

Dallas Stars Player Prop Facts

• Mikko Rantanen has scored at least one goal in four of his last five appearances against the Senators.
• Jason Robertson has recorded at least one assist in each of the Stars’ last four night games.
• Wyatt Johnston has recorded at least one point in seven of the Stars’ last eight games as favorites.
• Wyatt Johnston ranks T1st in the league for Power Play Points (12) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Ottawa Senators rank 32nd in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (67.39%).
• The Ottawa Senators rank 30th in the league for goals against per game this season (3.63).
• The Dallas Stars rank 2nd in the league in power play percentage this season (32.76%).
• The Dallas Stars rank 26th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (72.55%).

Senators vs Stars Prediction

The Stars are probably the better, more trustworthy team, and they’ve proven they can win on the road, but I’m leaning toward the Senators and the even money. The Senators have earned points in 8 of their last 9 games, and 5 of their 8 wins this season have come on their home ice. The Senators have also won 6 of the last 9 games against the Stars. At home, this line feels disrespectful toward the Senators. Almost like oddsmakers don’t believe in Ottawa. Give me the Senators and the slightly more favorable price.