Sharks vs Maple Leafs Prediction 12/11/25 NHL Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Sharks vs Maple Leafs Prediction for this NHL game on Thursday, December 11^th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Toronto Maple Leafs Preview

The Maple Leafs have 32 points this season with a 14-11-4 record, and are 10-19 ATS and 18-10 in over/under. They have a 9-4-4 home record and a 5-7-0 road record and are sitting 5th in the Atlantic Division. They are coming off a 2-0 home win over the Lightning, and their previous three games were a 2-1 home shootout loss against the Canadiens, a 5-1 road win against the Hurricanes, and a 4-1 road win against the Panthers.

Offensively, the Maple Leafs are averaging 3.34 goals per game and are scoring 13.7% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.17 goals per game and are killing 81.7% of their opponent’s power plays.

William Nylander leads the Maple Leafs with 32 points and 21 assists, while John Tavares leads the team in goals with 13. Anthony Stolarz is the starting goalie for the Maple Leafs, and he has a 6-5-1 record, with 3.51 GAA and .884 SV%. Dennis Hildeby is the backup goalie and he has a 2-2-2 record, with 2.16 GAA and .936 SV%.

San Jose Sharks Preview

The Sharks have 31 points this season with a 14-14-3 record, and are 21-10 ATS and 13-18 in over/under. They have a 9-5-3 home record and a 5-9-0 road record and are sitting 5th in the Pacific Division. They are coming off a 4-1 road loss to the Flyers, and their previous three games were a 4-1 road win against the Hurricanes, a 4-1 road loss against the Stars, and a 7-1 home loss against the Capitals.

Offensively, the Sharks are averaging 2.77 goals per game and are scoring 18.8% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.29 goals per game and are killing 80.4% of their opponent’s power plays.

Macklin Celebrini leads the Sharks with 43 points, also leading the team in goals with 15 and assists with 28. Yaroslav Askarov is the starting goalie for the Sharks, and he has a 10-8-1 record, with 3.14 GAA and .903 SV%. Alex Nedeljkovic is the backup goalie and he has a 4-6-2 record, with 3.02 GAA and .899 SV%.

San Jose Sharks @ Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Trends: December 11, 2025

Why the Toronto Maple Leafs will win

• The Sharks have lost six of their last seven road games.
• The home team has won 11 of the Sharks’ last 14 games.
• The Maple Leafs have covered the puck line in five of their last six home games.
• The Sharks have failed to cover the puck line in three of their last four games.
• The Maple Leafs have won the third period in each of their last five games.

Why the San Jose Sharks will win

• The underdogs have won each of the Maple Leafs’ last five games.
• The Maple Leafs have lost each of their last four games as favorites.
• The Sharks have covered the puck line in each of their last eight games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in eight of their last nine games as home favorites.
• The underdogs have won the first period in five of the Maple Leafs’ last six games.

Total Goals Facts

• Seven of the Sharks’ last eight road games have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Each of the Maple Leafs’ last four games have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Sharks’ last seven games following a road loss.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Maple Leafs’ last six games as favorites against Pacific Division opponents.

Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts

• Auston Matthews has scored a goal in each of his last six Thursday appearances.
• William Nylander has recorded at least one assist in eight of his last nine appearances with the Maple Leafs as home favorites.
• William Nylander has recorded at least one point in 15 of the Maple Leafs’ last 16 games as home favorites against Pacific Division opponents.
• Dakota Joshua has scored six career goals against the Sharks – most against any opponent (including playoffs).

San Jose Sharks Player Prop Facts

• Tyler Toffoli has scored a goal in five of his last six road appearances against Atlantic Division opponents.
• William Eklund has recorded an assist in six of his last seven appearances against Atlantic Division opponents.
• Alexander Wennberg has recorded at least one point in seven of his last eight appearances at Scotiabank Arena.
• Macklin Celebrini ranks T2nd in the league for Assists (28) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 32nd in the league in power play percentage this season (13.70%).
• The Toronto Maple Leafs rank T5th in the league for goals per game this season (3.34).
• The San Jose Sharks rank 32nd in the league for shots per game this season (23.9).
• The San Jose Sharks rank 32nd in the league in short handed goals allowed this season (5).

Sharks vs Maple Leafs Prediction

Both teams are tied 5-5 in their last 10 meetings and the over/under is 5-5 as well.

In this Sharks vs Maple Leafs Prediction, the Maple Leafs are coming as -202 home favorites. Both teams have exactly 14 overall wins this season, but the Leafs have been much better at home, where they have 9 of their 14 wins. Toronto is also playing good hockey lately, as they are 4-1 in their last 5 games, while on the other hand, San Jose is 1-3 in its last 4 games and 1-6 in its last 7 road games. Toronto is better both offensively and defensively and given both teams’ recent form, I expect a comfortable win for the hosts. Take the Maple Leafs on the puckline at home in this one.