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Stars vs Avalanche Prediction 4/19/25 NHL Picks Today

Colorado Avalanche (49-29-4) vs. Dallas Stars (50-26-6)
April 19, 2025 8:30 pm EDT
The Line: Dallas Stars +114 / Colorado Avalanche -135; Over/Under: 5.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Colorado Avalanche and the Dallas Stars meet Saturday in NHL action from the American Airlines Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Stars vs Avalanche Prediction.

Matchup History

The Colorado Avalanche won the regular season series between these two teams 2-1, with Dallas winning the first meeting 5-3 at home on November 29th, 2024, before Colorado got a 6-3 win at home on January 18th, 2025. The Avs won 4-3 in Colorado again on March 16th, 2025 to win the season series.

Colorado Avalanche Recap

The Colorado Avalanche come into the postseason as the 3-seed in the Central division after finishing the regular season with a record of 49-29-4 on the year.

Avalanche Looking To Avenge Playoff Loss To Stars Last Year

Nathan MacKinnon has a team-high 116 points including 32 goals and a team-high 84 assists while Cale Makar has 92 points with 30 goals and 62 assists. Artturi Lehkonen also has 45 points with 27 goals while Devon Toews has 44 points with 34 assists as well. Mackenzie Blackwood is 22-12-3 with a 2.33 GAA and a .913 save percentage while Scott Wedgewood has gone 13-4-1 with a 1.99 GAA and a .917 save percentage in goal for Colorado on the year.

Why the Colorado Avalanche will win

  • The Stars have lost each of their last seven Game 1s of a playoff series.
  • The Avalanche have won four of their last five games following a road win.
  • The Stars have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last five games against Western Conference opponents.
  • The road team has covered the puck line in each of the Avalanche’s last four games.

Colorado Avalanche Player Prop Facts

  • Valeri Nichushkin has scored at least one goal in eight of his last nine playoff appearances.
  • Nathan MacKinnon has recorded at least one assist in each of the Avalanche’s last 12 Game 1s of a playoff series.
  • Nathan MacKinnon has recorded at least one point in each of the Avalanche’s last 12 Game 1s of a playoff series.
  • Nathan MacKinnon ranks T1st in the league for Assists (84) this season.

Dallas Stars Recap

The Dallas Stars come into the postseason as the 2-seed in the Central division after finishing the year with an overall record of 50-26-6 on the year.

Stars Looking To Avoid Third Straight Conference Finals Loss

Matt Duchene has 82 points including 30 goals along with 52 assists. Jason Robertson has 80 points with 35 goals and 45 assists while Roope Hintz has 67 points with 29 goals and Jamie Benn has 49 points with 16 goals and 33 assists. Wyatt Johnston also has 71 points with 33 goals and 38 assists as well on the year. Evgenii Dadonov’s added 40 points split between 20 goals and 20 assists and Thomas Harley has 50 points with 16 goals and 34 assists as well this year. In goal for Dallas, Jake Oettinger is 36-18-4 with a 2.59 GAA and a .909 save percentage while Casey DeSmith is 14-8-2 with a 2.63 GAA and a .913 save percentage this season.

Why the Dallas Stars will win

  • The underdogs have won each of the Stars’ last seven games.
  • The Avalanche have lost five of their last six games as road favorites against Central Division opponents.
  • The underdogs have covered the puck line in each of the Stars’ last seven games.
  • The Avalanche have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last six road games against Central Division opponents.

Dallas Stars Player Prop Facts

  • Wyatt Johnston has scored at least one goal in four of the Stars’ last five home games against Central Division opponents.
  • Mikko Rantanen has recorded at least one point in each of his last nine Saturday playoff appearances.
  • Jason Robertson has recorded at least one assist in eight of the Stars’ last nine playoff games against Central Division opponents.
  • Esa Lindell ranks T2nd in the Central Division for Plus/Minus (+34) this season.

Total Goals Facts

  • Each of the last seven games between the Avalanche and Stars at American Airlines Center have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • Each of the Avalanche’s last six night games at American Airlines Center have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • Four of the last five games between teams from the same division have gone UNDER the total goals line.

Stars vs Avalanche Prediction

I’m on the Avalanche here. I think the injury to Jason Robertson is going to loom large for the Stars at some point. I want to see how it affects the Stars out of the gate before I trust Dallas going forward against a full strength Avalanche team that looks like they’re going to get their captain in Landeskog back at some point sooner rather than later. I think the Avs draw first blood and steal home ice in the series, so give me Colorado in game one here.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: Colorado Avalanche -135

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Chris Ruffolo

Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg

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