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Stars vs Blackhawks Prediction 3/8/26 NHL Picks Today

Chicago Blackhawks (23-29-10) vs. Dallas Stars (38-14-10)
March 8, 2026 6:00 pm EDT
The Line: Dallas Stars -270 / Chicago Blackhawks 220; Over/Under: 5.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate a Stars vs Blackhawks prediction for this NHL game on Sunday, March 8th at the American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Dallas Stars Betting Preview

The Dallas Stars are 38-14-10 this year after they lost to the Avalanche in a shootout by a score of 5-4 in their last game. Dallas led 3-1 in the first period and 4-3 in the third, but they couldn’t hold the lead and lost in the shootout. The Stars were out shot by a total of 29-21, won 46.6% of the face-offs, and went 1-4 on the power play in the game. Dallas got goals from Benn, Hryckowian, Johnston, and Heiskanen, while Oettinger stopped 25 out of 29 shots, which was an .862 save percentage. 

Prior to that game, Dallas defeated the Flames by a score of 6-1 and the Canucks by a score of 6-1. The Stars have won 10 of their last 11 games and they are currently second in the Central standings with 86 points. Dallas has scored 3.42 goals per game and they have allowed 2.68 goals against per game, while also going 29.9% on the power play and 80.1% on the penalty kill this season. Jason Robertson has led Dallas with 34 goals and 40 assists, while Wyatt Johnston has added 34 goals and 33 assists. The projected starting goalie for Dallas is Jake Oettinger, who is 25-10-5 with a 2.70 goals against average and an .897 save percentage this year. 

Chicago Blackhawks Betting Preview

The Chicago Blackhawks are 23-29-10 this season after they lost to the Canucks by a score of 6-3 in their last game. Chicago tied the game at three late in the second period, but they allowed three goals in the third for the loss. The Blackhawks out shot Vancouver by a total of 23-22, won 32.7% of the face-offs, and went 0-3 on the power play in the game. Chicago got goals from Donato, Mikheyev, and Nazar, while Soderblom stopped 16 out of 20 shots, which was an .800 save percentage. 

Prior to that game, Chicago lost to the Jets by a score of 3-2, but did beat the Mammoth by a score of 4-0 before that. The Blackhawks have lost five of their last six games and they are currently last in the Central standings with 56 points. Chicago has scored 2.63 goals per game and they have allowed 3.16 goals against per game, while also going 19.3% on the power play and 85.6% on the penalty kill this season. Connor Bedard has led Chicago with 25 goals and 32 assists, while Tyler Bertuzzi has added 26 goals and 20 assists. The projected starting goalie for Chicago is Arvid Soderblom, who is 6-10-2 with a 3.69 goals against average and an .876 save percentage this season. 

Why the Dallas Stars will win

  • The Stars have won each of their last 12 Sunday night games at American Airlines Center.
  • The Blackhawks have lost nine of their last 10 night games.
  • The Stars have covered the puck line in four of their last five games.
  • The Blackhawks have failed to cover the puck line in four of their last five games at American Airlines Center following a loss.
  • The Stars have won the third period in each of their last six games against the Blackhawks when trailing after the second period.

Why the Chicago Blackhawks will win

  • The Blackhawks have won three of their last four games as underdogs against the Stars.
  • The Stars have lost three of their last four games as home favorites after coming off overtime.
  • The Stars have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last 13 games as favorites against Central Division opponents.
  • The Blackhawks have covered the puck line in seven of their last eight night games against Central Division opponents.
  • The Stars have lost the third period in each of their last four games against Central Division opponents when leading after the second period.

Total Goals Facts

  • Each of the Blackhawks’ last five road games have gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • Each of the Stars’ last five games against opponents on a losing streak have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • Five of the last six games between two teams from the Central Division have gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in seven of the Stars’ last eight home games against Central Division opponents.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in 22 of the Blackhawks’ last 25 games following a home loss.

Dallas Stars Player Prop Facts

  • Wyatt Johnston has scored at least one goal in each of the Stars’ last seven Sunday games against Western Conference opponents at American Airlines Center.
  • Miro Heiskanen has recorded at least one assist in each of the Stars’ last eight games as home favorites.
  • Matt Duchene has scored the last goal in three of the Stars’ last four games against the Blackhawks.

Chicago Blackhawks Player Prop Facts

  • Sam Rinzel has recorded an assist in each of his last four appearances against Central Division opponents.
  • Connor Bedard has scored a goal in four of his last five appearances against the Stars.

Stars vs Blackhawks Prediction 

Dallas comes into this matchup after having their winning streak snapped last time out, but they have won 10 of their last 11 games. The Stars are 18-7-4 at home this year, while the Blackhawks are 11-14-5 on the road. Chicago has lost five of their last six games and they have scored two goals or fewer in three of their last five. Dallas is clearly the better team and they should have plenty of motivation to get back on the right track, so I am going with the Stars to win by at least two goals here. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Stars -1.5

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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