Stars vs Capitals Prediction 11/3/26 NHL Picks Today

Stars vs Capitals Prediction

In this Stars vs Capitals Prediction, the Capitals are coming as -105 home favorites. Both teams have been in good form, as the Capitals are 5-2 in their last 7 games, while the Stars are 6-2 in their last 8. The Stars have been an elite defensively team with excellent goaltending but their defense has been exposed lately, as they have allowed 5 goals in two of their last three games, while having the 6^th-worst offense in hockey throughout the season. The Capitals are looking to bounce back after an ugly home defeat and have scored 4+ goals in five of their last seven meetings, so I like them at home in this spot. Take the Capitals to get the job done at home and win this one.

The Stars are 8-1 in their last 9 meetings against the Capitals and are 4-1 in their last five visits in Washington. Under is 8-2 in their last 10 meetings.

Washington Capitals Preview

The Capitals have 16 points this season with a 8-5-0 record and a 6-3-0 home record. They are 6-7 ATS and 9-4 in over/under. They are coming off a 1-5 home loss against the Wild and will face the Panthers and Senators next.

Offensively, the Capitals are averaging 3.38 goals per game with 27.8 shots on goal per game and are scoring 17.6% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.23 goals per game on 28.1 shots on goal per game and are killing 77.3% of their opponent’s power plays. They have 135 total penalty minutes this season.

Alex Tuch leads the Capitals with 12 points, adding a team-high 10 goals with 37 shots on goal, while Dylan Strome leads the team in assists with 9. Logan Thompson is the starting goalie for the Capitals, and he has a 5-4-0 record, with 2.93 GAA and .898 SV%. Charlie Lindgren is the backup goalie and he has a 3-1-0 record, with 2.98 GAA and .887 SV%.

Injury Report:

• Vincent Desharnais — IR, est. return Dec 5
• Rasmus Sandin — IR-LT, est. return Dec 26
• Patrick Thomas — IR-NR, est. return Nov 14

Dallas Stars Preview

The Stars have 17 points this season with a 8-5-1 record and a 3-1-1 road record. They are 7-7 ATS and 3-11 in over/under. They are coming off a 3-1 home win against the Blue Jackets and will face the Blue Jackets and Sharks next.

Offensively, the Stars are averaging 2.64 goals per game with 25.6 shots on goal per game and are scoring 21.9% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 2.14 goals per game on 22.3 shots on goal per game and are killing 93.6% of their opponent’s power plays. They have 132 total penalty minutes this season.

Mikko Rantanen leads the Stars with 17 points, adding a team-high 7 goals with 28 shots on goal and a team-high 10 assists. Jake Oettinger is the starting goalie for the Stars, and he has a 7-3-1 record, with 1.63 GAA and .921 SV%. Casey DeSmith is the backup goalie and he has a 1-2-0 record, with 2.94 GAA and .888 SV%.

Injury Report:

• Radek Faksa — Day-To-Day, est. return Nov 5
• Kyle Capobianco — IR, est. return Nov 27
• Oskar Back — IR-LT, est. return Nov 14
• Matt Duchene — IR-LT, est. return Jan 12
• Luke Krys — IR-NR, est. return Nov 28

Dallas Stars @ Washington Capitals Betting Trends: November 3, 2026

Why the Washington Capitals will win

• The Capitals have won each of their last six games at Capital One Arena following a loss.
• The Stars have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last eight Tuesday night games.
• The Capitals have covered the puck line in each of their last four night games against the Stars following a loss.
• The Stars have lost the third period in six of their last seven games as underdogs following a win.

Why the Dallas Stars will win

• The Stars have won each of their last four games as road underdogs against the Capitals.
• The Capitals have lost six of their last nine games as favorites against Central Division opponents.
• The Stars have covered the puck line in 16 of their last 18 games as road underdogs.
• The Capitals have failed to cover the puck line in nine of their last 11 games as a home favorite when playing with a rest disadvantage.
• The underdogs have won the second period in each of the last four games between the Stars and Capitals at Capital One Arena.

Total Goals Facts

• Eight of the Capitals’ last nine night games at Capital One Arena have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Each of the Stars’ last five road games have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in 13 of the Capitals’ last 14 games following a home loss.
• The ‘Under 0.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Stars’ last three road games.

Washington Capitals Player Prop Facts

• Alex Tuch has scored the last goal in each of the Capitals’ last three night games.
• Pierre-Luc Dubois has scored a goal in five of his last six appearances with the Capitals as home favorites against Central Division opponents.
• Jakob Chychrun has recorded at least one assist in each of the Capitals’ last four games as home favorites.
• Alex Tuch ranks 1st in the league for Game Winning Goals (5) this season.

Dallas Stars Player Prop Facts

• Roope Hintz has scored at least one goal in each of the Stars’ last three games as road underdogs against the Capitals.
• Mikko Rantanen has recorded at least one assist in seven of the Stars’ last eight road games.
• Roope Hintz ranks T2nd in the Western Conference for shootout goals (1) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Washington Capitals rank 2nd in the league for Period 2 goals allowed per game this season (0.69).
• The Washington Capitals rank T3rd in the league for Period 1 goals scored per game this season (1.23).
• The Dallas Stars rank 26th in the league for goals per game this season (2.64).
• The Dallas Stars rank 1st in the league for shots against per game this season (22.3).