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Stars vs Flames Prediction 3/6/25 NHL Picks Today

Calgary Flames (29-23-9) vs. Dallas Stars (40-19-2)
March 6, 2025 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: Dallas Stars -238 / Calgary Flames 195; Over/Under: 6
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Stars vs Flames prediction for this NHL game on Thursday, March 6th at the American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup. 

Dallas Stars Betting Preview

The Dallas Stars are 40-19-2 this season after they defeated New Jersey by a score of 4-3 in their last game. Dallas led 3-1 in the third period, but they allowed the Devils to tie the game, before scoring with five seconds left for the win. The Stars were outshot by a total of 28-21, won 56.5% of the face-offs, and went 1-5 on the power play in the game. Dallas got goals from Hintz, Johnston, Harley, and Lyubushkin, while DeSmith stopped 25 out of 28 shots in the game. 


Prior to that win, the Stars defeated the Blues by a score of 6-3 and the Kings by a score of 6-2. Dallas has won six of their last seven games and they are currently second in the Central standings with 82 points. Dallas has scored 3.41 goals per game and they have allowed 2.57 goals against per game, while also going 22.7% on the power play and 84.1% on the penalty kill this season. Matt Duchene has led Dallas with 25 goals, 37 assists, and 112 shots on goal, while Jason Robertson has added 25 goals, 37 assists, and 171 shots on goal. Jake Oettinger is 29-13-2 with a 2.44 goals against average and a .911 save percentage this season. 

Calgary Flames Betting Preview

The Calgary Flames are 29-23-9 this year after they defeated Philadelphia by a score of 6-3 in their last game. Calgary scored four goals in the first period and they were able to cruise to the win in the second and third. The Flames outshot Philadelphia by a total of 34-29, won 48.4% of the face-offs, and went 1-2 on the power play in the game. Calgary got goals from Coronato, Kadri, Sharangovich, Zary (2), and Weegar, while Wolf stopped 26 out of 29 shots in the game. 

Prior to that win, the Flames lost to the Hurricanes by a score of 2-1 and the Panthers by a score of 3-0. Calgary has lost three of their last four games and they are currently fourth in the Pacific standings with 67 points. Calgary has scored 2.59 goals per game and they have allowed 2.92 goals against per game, while also going 21.6% on the power play and 74.5% on the penalty kill this season. Nazem Kadri has led Calgary with 22 goals, 24 assists, and 206 shots on goal, while Jonathan Huberdeau has added 22 goals, 24 assists, and 113 shots on goal. Dustin Wolf is 21-12-4 with a 2.59 goals-against average and a .913 save percentage this year. 

Why the Stars will beat the Flames

  • The Flames have lost each of their last eight road games following a road win.
  • The Stars have won each of their last six games at American Airlines Center.
  • The Stars have covered the puck line in seven of their last eight games against Western Conference opponents.
  • The Flames have failed to cover the puck line in five of their last six games as underdogs following a road win.
  • The Stars have won the third period in each of their last four games as favorites against Western Conference opponents when leading after the second period.

Total Goals Facts

  • Each of the Stars’ last eight games has gone OVER the total goals line.
  • Nine of the Flames’ last 10 night games against opponents on a winning streak have gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in seven of the Stars’ last eight games as favorites against the Flames.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Flames’ last six night games against opponents on a winning streak.

Dallas Stars Player Prop Facts

  • Wyatt Johnston has recorded at least one point in each of the Stars’ last 13 home games.
  • Miro Heiskanen has recorded an assist in each of his last five appearances after playing less than 20 minutes in the Stars’ last game.
  • Jason Robertson has scored at least one goal in each of the Stars’ last five home games against Pacific Division opponents.

Calgary Flames Player Prop Facts

  • Nazem Kadri has recorded at least one point in each of the Flames’ last six games as underdogs against the Stars.
  • MacKenzie Weegar has recorded an assist in each of the Flames’ last four games against Western Conference opponents.

Stars vs Flames Prediction 

Dallas comes into this matchup with the home-ice advantage and they have won three games in a row. The Stars are 23-7-1 at home this year, while the Flames are 12-13-5 on the road. Calgary was able to snap their losing streak with a win over the Flyers in their last game, but they scored just one total goal in the previous three games. Dallas has been great on home ice this year and their defense shouldn’t allow Calgary to generate many scoring chances in this one. Take this high-powered Dallas offense to win by at least two goals here. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Stars -1.5

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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