Stars vs Flames Prediction 4/7/26 NHL Picks Today
Calgary Flames (32-36-8) vs. Dallas Stars (45-20-12)
April 7, 2026 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: Dallas Stars -245 / Calgary Flames 200; Over/Under: 5.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Calgary Flames and Dallas Stars meet Tuesday in NHL action at the American Airlines Center. Here’s a Stars vs. Flames Prediction. This article will include a Stars vs. Flames Pick.
Calgary Flames Betting Preview
The Calgary Flames lost to the Golden Knights, beat the Ducks, and play the Avs next. The Flames have split their last 6 games.
The Calgary Flames are averaging 2.57 goals per game and are scoring 16.4 percent of their power-play opportunities. Morgan Frost leads Calgary with 21 goals, Nazem Kadri has 29 assists, and Matt Coronato has 184 shots on goal. Defensively, the Calgary Flames are allowing 3.16 goals per game and are killing 79.6 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Dustin Wolf has allowed 153 goals on 1,452 shots faced, and Devin Cooley has given up 70 goals on 802 shots.
Dallas Stars Betting Preview
The Dallas Stars lost to the Avs, beat the Jets, and play the Wild next. The Stars have lost 7 of their last 9 games.
The Dallas Stars are averaging 3.29 goals per game and are scoring on 28.9 percent of their power play opportunities. Wyatt Johnston leads Dallas with 41 goals, Mikko Rantanen has 53 assists, and Jason Robertson has 278 shots on goal. Defensively, the Dallas Stars are allowing 2.69 goals per game and are killing 81 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Jake Oettinger has allowed 128 goals on 1,275 shots faced, while Casey DeSmith has given up 66 goals on 733 shots.
Why the Dallas Stars will win
- The Flames have lost each of their last seven road games following a road win.
- The Stars have won 13 of their last 15 night games against Pacific Division opponents.
- The home team has covered the puck line in nine of the Flames’ last 10 games.
- The Flames have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last six Tuesday road games.
- The Flames have lost the first period in each of their last nine Tuesday games.
Why the Calgary Flames will win
- The Stars have lost seven of their last nine games as favorites.
- The underdogs have won eight of the Stars’ last 11 games.
- The underdogs have covered the puck line in 10 of the Flames’ last 12 games at American Airlines Center.
- The Stars have failed to cover the puck line in five of their last six home games.
- The Stars have lost the first period in each of their last four games following a home loss.
Total Goals Facts
- Each of the Stars’ last five games against Western Conference opponents has gone UNDER the total goals line.
- Each of the Flames’ last four games has gone OVER the total goals line.
- Eight of the last nine Tuesday night games between teams from different divisions have gone OVER the total goals line.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Stars’ last four games as home favorites.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Flames’ last six games.
Dallas Stars Player Prop Facts
- Matt Duchene has recorded at least one assist in each of the Stars’ last seven games as favorites against Pacific Division opponents.
- Michael Bunting has scored a goal in each of his last five appearances with his team as a favorite against the Flames.
- Wyatt Johnston ranks 1st in the league for Power Play Goals (25) this season.
Calgary Flames Player Prop Facts
- Morgan Frost has scored at least one goal in three of the Flames’ last four games.
- Joel Farabee has recorded an assist in three of the Flames’ last four games as underdogs.
- Mikael Backlund has recorded at least four shots in each of his last zero appearances—the [longest/equal-longest] active streak in the league.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Dallas Stars rank 2nd in the league for goals against per game this season (2.69).
- The Dallas Stars rank 2nd in the league in power play percentage this season (28.88%).
- The Calgary Flames rank 31st in the league for goals per game this season (2.57).
- The Calgary Flames rank 31st in the league in power play percentage this season (16.36%).
Stars vs Flames Prediction
The Flames have nothing to play for so this is a spot where the Stars should stop the bleeding. We saw the Stars wax the Flames a month ago on the road, 6-1. However, the Stars are having a rough couple of weeks and are burning a hole in their pocket. The Stars have lost a lot lately and some of these losses are in the favorite role. The Flames are surprisingly winning games lately and have been profitable over their last 10 games. The Stars probably win, but I’ll still take a shot in the dark with the big dog on the road anyway.