Stars vs Flyers Prediction 3/29/26 NHL Picks Today
Dallas Stars (44-18-11) vs. Philadelphia Flyers (36-24-12)
March 29, 2026 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Philadelphia Flyers 130 / Dallas Stars -155; Over/Under: 5.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article, we will formulate a Stars vs Flyers Prediction for this NHL game on Sunday, March 29th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.
Philadelphia Flyers Preview
The Flyers have 84 points this season with a 36-24-12 record, and are 46-26 ATS and 36-35 in over/under. They have a 16-12-8 home record and a 20-12-4 road record and are sitting 5th in the Metropolitan Division. They are coming off a 5-3 road win over the Red Wings, and their previous three games were a 5-1 home win over the Blackhawks, a 3-2 home loss to the Blue Jackets, and a 4-1 road win over the Sharks.
Offensively, the Flyers are averaging 2.85 goals per game and are scoring 15.3% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 2.97 goals per game and are killing 78.6% of their opponent’s power plays.
Travis Konecny leads the Flyers with 62 points and 37 assists, while Owen Tippett leads the team in goals with 27. Dan Vladar is the starting goalie for the Flyers, and he has a 24-12-7 record, with 2.44 GAA and .907 SV%. Samuel Ersson is the backup goalie and he has a 12-10-5 record, with 3.20 GAA and .867 SV%.
Dallas Stars Preview
The Stars have 99 points this season with a 44-18-11 record, and are 30-43 ATS and 36-36 in over/under. They have a 22-10-4 home record and a 22-8-7 road record and are sitting 2nd in the Central Division. They are coming off a 6-3 road win over the Penguins, and their previous three games were a 2-1 road loss to the Islanders, a 6-4 home loss to the Devils, and a 3-2 home loss to the Golden Knights.
Offensively, the Stars are averaging 3.37 goals per game and are scoring 29.0% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 2.70 goals per game and are killing 81.1% of their opponent’s power plays.
Jason Robertson leads the Stars with 87 points and 40 goals, while Miro Heiskanen leads the team in assists with 51. Jake Oettinger is the starting goalie for the Stars, and he has a 30-11-6 record, with 2.63 GAA and .899 SV%. Casey DeSmith is the backup goalie and he has a 14-7-5 record, with 2.40 GAA and .908 SV%.
Dallas Stars @ Philadelphia Flyers Betting Trends: March 29, 2026
Why the Philadelphia Flyers will win
- The underdogs have won six of the Stars’ last seven games.
- The Stars have lost five of their last six games as favorites.
- The Flyers have covered the puck line in each of their last nine games.
- The Stars have failed to cover the puck line in eight of their last nine games as favorites on the second leg of a back-to-back.
- The Stars have lost the first period in each of their last five games as favorites against Metropolitan Division opponents.
Why the Dallas Stars will win
- The Flyers have lost each of their last 19 games as home underdogs on the second leg of a back-to-back.
- The Stars have won 10 of their last 11 games against the Flyers.
- The Flyers have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last seven home games on the second leg of a back-to-back.
- The Stars have covered the puck line in six of their last seven road games against the Flyers.
- The Stars have won the first period in each of their last four road games following a road win.
Total Goals Facts
- Seven of the Stars’ last eight night games at Xfinity Mobile Arena have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- Each of the Flyers’ last four games as home underdogs following a road win have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Stars’ last 17 games as favorites against opponents on a winning streak.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Flyers’ last 11 games as underdogs against Central Division opponents.
Philadelphia Flyers Player Prop Facts
- Noah Cates has scored a goal in five of the Flyers’ last six games.
- Travis Konecny has recorded at least one assist in each of the Flyers’ last five games against opponents who are playing on the second leg of a back-to-back.
- Trevor Zegras ranks 1st in the league for shootout goals (7) this season.
Dallas Stars Player Prop Facts
- Mikko Rantanen has scored a goal in four of his last five road appearances against Metropolitan Division opponents.
- Mikko Rantanen has recorded an assist in each of his last six appearances.
- Wyatt Johnston ranks 1st in the league for Power Play Goals (24) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Philadelphia Flyers rank 32nd in the league in power play percentage this season (15.31%).
- The Philadelphia Flyers have recorded the longest road winning streak (8 games) in the NHL this season.
- The Dallas Stars rank 2nd in the league for goals against per game this season (2.70).
- The Dallas Stars rank 2nd in the league in power play percentage this season (29.02%).
Stars vs Flyers Prediction
The Stars won their previous meeting against the Flyers this season by 5-1 at home and are 9-1 in their last 10 meetings.
In this Stars vs Flyers Prediction, the Stars are coming as -155 road favorites. Both teams are on the second leg of a back-to-back and both teams won yesterday. The Flyers have been playing very good hockey and are 7-2 in their last 9 games, while the Stars had four consecutive losses before yesterday’s road win in Pittsburgh. This will be the third road game in four nights for the Stars and are facing a red-hot Flyers squad that has scored at least four goals in four of its last five games. I like the value with the home dog in this spot, so take the Flyers on the moneyline for plus money.