Stars vs Flyers Prediction 3/22/25 NHL Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Stars vs Flyers prediction for this NHL game on Saturday, March 22nd at the American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup. 

Dallas Stars Betting Preview

The Dallas Stars are 43-21-4 this year after they lost to Tampa Bay in a shootout by a score of 3-2 in their last game. Dallas trailed 2-0 in the second period, but they were able to tie the game, before losing in the shootout. The Stars were out shot by a total of 38-24, won 50% of the face-offs, and went 1-2 on the power play in the game. Dallas got goals from Back and Marchment, while DeSmith stopped 36 out of 38 shots in the game. 

Prior to that loss, the Stars defeated the Ducks by a score of 4-3, but did lose to the Avalanche by a score of 4-3 before that. Dallas has lost three of their last four games and they are currently second in the Central standings with 90 points. Dallas has scored 3.37 goals per game and they have allowed 2.62 goals against per game, while also averaging 22.9% on the power play and 84.4% on the penalty kill this season. Matt Duchene has led Dallas with 26 goals, 43 assists, and 129 shots on goal, while Jason Robertson has added 29 goals, 38 assists, and 185 shots on goal. Jake Oettinger is 31-15-3 with a 2.55 goals against average and a .906 save percentage this year. 

Philadelphia Flyers Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Flyers are 28-34-8 this season after they lost to Washington by a score of 3-2 in their last game. Philadelphia trailed 2-0 after the second period, but they scored twice in the third and nearly made the comeback. The Flyers out shot Washington by a total of 28-16, won 50% of the face-offs, and went 0-2 on the power play in the game. Philadelphia got goals from Couturier and Poehling, while Ersson stopped 13 out of 16 shots in the game. 

Prior to that loss, the Flyers lost to the Lightning by a score of 2-0 and the Hurricanes by a score of 5-0. Philadelphia has lost eight of their last nine games and they are currently last in the Metro standings with 64 points. Philadelphia has scored 2.70 goals per game and they have allowed 3.34 goals against per game, while also going 14.1% on the power play and 77.9% on the penalty kill this season. Travis Konecny has led Philadelphia with 22 goals, 43 assists, and 159 shots on goal, while Matvei Michkov has added 20 goals, 27 assists, and 160 shots on goal. Samuel Ersson is 19-14-4 with a 3.03 goals against average and an .885 save percentage this year.

Why the Stars will beat the Flyers

• The Flyers have lost each of their last seven games at American Airlines Center.
• The Stars have won each of their last nine Saturday games at American Airlines Center.
• The Stars have covered the puck line in eight of their last 10 games against the Flyers.
• The Flyers have failed to cover the puck line in four of their last five day games against Central Division opponents.
• The Flyers have lost the first period in seven of their last eight games as underdogs.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Flyers’ last seven road games against Central Division opponents have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Each of the Stars’ last five games against Metropolitan Division opponents have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Eight of the last nine Saturday games at American Airlines Center have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Stars’ last 10 games as favorites.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in 21 of the Flyers’ last 25 games following a road loss.

Dallas Stars Player Prop Facts

• Wyatt Johnston has scored at least one goal in each of the Stars’ last six games as home favorites.
• Wyatt Johnston has recorded at least one point in each of the Stars’ last 15 games as home favorites.
• Wyatt Johnston has recorded an assist in each of the Stars’ last six games against Metropolitan Division opponents.

Philadelphia Flyers Player Prop Facts

• Ryan Ellis has recorded at least one point in seven of his last eight appearances.
• Ryan Ellis has recorded an assist in five of his last six appearances with his team as an underdog.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Dallas Stars rank 2nd in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (84.36%).
• The Dallas Stars rank 4th in the league for goals per game this season (3.37).
• The Philadelphia Flyers rank 30th in the league in power play percentage this season (14.13%).
• The Philadelphia Flyers rank 28th in the league for goals against per game this season (3.34).

Stars vs Flyers Prediction 

Philadelphia comes into this matchup really struggling over the last few weeks and they will be on the road for this contest. The Flyers are 12-15-7 on the road this year, while the Stars are 25-7-2 at home. Dallas has dropped three of their last four games, but this should be a bounce back spot for them. The Stars are allowing just 2.62 goals against per game this year and the Flyers have scored two goals or fewer in seven of their last eight games. Dallas won the first meeting with the Flyers by a score of 4-0 and I like them to win by at least two goals here.