Stars vs Jets Prediction 5/11/25 NHL Picks Today

The Winnipeg Jets and the Dallas Stars meet Sunday in NHL action from the American Airlines Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Stars vs Jets Prediction.

Series Recap

The Winnipeg Jets evened up the series at one win apiece thanks to a 4-0 win over the Stars from Friday’s game two matchup. Gabe Vilardi opened the scoring on the power play for Winnipeg just 3:35 into the game before Nikolaj Ehlers doubled Winnipeg’s lead just 3:32 later. Adam Lowry pushed the lead to 3-0 just past the midway point of the second period and the Stars wouldn’t get any closer as Winnipeg had Nikolaj Ehlers pot a second goal of the game with 3:40 to go on an empty net to secure the W.

Jets Looking To Steal Back Home Ice

Kyle Connor leads the Jets with 97 points including 41 goals and 56 assists. Nikolaj Ehlers has 63 points with 24 goals and 39 assists while Mark Scheifele also has 87 points with 39 goals and 48 assists. Josh Morrissey has 62 points with 48 assists, while Neal Pionk has 39 points with 29 assists. Gabe Vilardi has 61 points with 27 goals and 34 assists as well on the year. Cole Perfetti also has 50 points with 18 goals and 32 assists as well on the year. In goal for Winnipeg, Connor Hellebuyck is 45-12-3 with a 1.99 GAA and a .925 save percentage on the year while Eric Comrie is 9-9-1 with a 2.36 GAA and a .914 save percentage.

Why the Winnipeg Jets will win

• The Stars have lost each of their last seven games as favorites.
• The underdogs have won seven of the Stars’ last eight games at American Airlines Center.
• The Stars have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last seven games as favorites.
• The underdogs have covered the puck line in seven of the Stars’ last eight games at American Airlines Center.

Winnipeg Jets Player Prop Facts

• Nino Niederreiter has scored a goal in each of his last three appearances in day Game 3s of a playoff series.
• Nino Niederreiter has recorded at least one point in each of his last six playoff appearances against the Stars.
• Josh Morrissey has recorded at least one assist in each of the Jets’ last three games as underdogs against Central Division opponents.
• Mark Scheifele ranks T1st in the league for Game Winning Goals (11) this season.

Stars Looking To Retake Series Lead

Matt Duchene has 82 points including 30 goals along with 52 assists. Jason Robertson has 80 points with 35 goals and 45 assists while Roope Hintz has 67 points with 29 goals and Jamie Benn has 49 points with 16 goals and 33 assists. Wyatt Johnston also has 71 points with 33 goals and 38 assists as well on the year. Evgenii Dadonov’s added 40 points split between 20 goals and 20 assists and Thomas Harley has 50 points with 16 goals and 34 assists as well this year. In goal for Dallas, Jake Oettinger is 36-18-4 with a 2.59 GAA and a .909 save percentage while Casey DeSmith is 14-8-2 with a 2.63 GAA and a .913 save percentage this season.

Why the Dallas Stars will win

• The Stars have won each of their last nine Sunday games at American Airlines Center.
• The Jets have lost each of their last four Game 3s of a playoff series.
• The Jets have failed to cover the puck line in eight of their last nine road games following a win.
• The Stars have covered the puck line in each of their last six Sunday games at American Airlines Center.

Dallas Stars Player Prop Facts

• Wyatt Johnston has scored at least one goal in each of the Stars’ last seven Sunday home games.
• Mikko Rantanen has recorded at least one assist in each of his last seven appearances in day playoff games.
• Mikko Rantanen has recorded at least one point in each of his last 12 appearances in Game 3s of a playoff series.
• Esa Lindell ranks T2nd in the Central Division for Plus/Minus (+34) this season.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the last 10 games between the Jets and Stars have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Each of the Jets’ last seven games against the Stars following a win have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Seven of the last nine games between two teams from the Central Division have gone OVER the total goals line.

Stars vs Jets Prediction

I’m on the under here. It’s been the theme of the regular season meetings between these two teams, and I think it could be the case for this game as well, with so much at stake for both teams. Game three is usually a big game for shifting momentum in a playoff series. This game and series features two of the better goaltenders in the NHL. I think this could be a low-scoring defensive battle, so give me the under in what I think could end up being a first to 3 wins kind of scenario.