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Stars vs Jets Prediction 5/13/25 NHL Picks Today

Winnipeg Jets (56-22-4) vs. Dallas Stars (50-26-6)
May 13, 2025 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: Dallas Stars -148 / Winnipeg Jets 124; Over/Under: 5.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Winnipeg Jets and Dallas Stars meet Tuesday in the NHL playoffs Game 4 at the American Airlines Center. Here’s a Stars vs Jets Prediction. This article will include a Stars vs Jets Pick.

Winnipeg Jets Betting Preview

The Winnipeg Jets need a win to even up the series at 2-2. The Jets have lost all four road games in these playoffs. The Jets have allowed three or more goals in seven of their 10 playoff games.

The Winnipeg Jets are averaging 2.9 goals per game and are scoring 17.1 percent of their power play opportunities. Kyle Connor leads Winnipeg with 5 goals, Mason Appleton has 7 assists, and Cole Perfetti has 22 shots on goal. Defensively, the Winnipeg Jets are allowing 3.5 goals per game and are killing 75.8 percent of their opponents’ power plays. Connor Hellebuyck has given up 34 goals on 224 shots faced, and Eric Comrie has allowed 1 goal on 13 shots.

Dallas Stars Betting Preview

The Dallas Stars look for a win to take a commanding 3-1 series lead. The Stars have won four of their five home playoff games. The Stars are 6-1 in these playoffs when they score more than one goal.

The Dallas Stars are averaging 2.9 goals per game and are scoring 30 percent of their power play opportunities. Mikko Rantanen leads Dallas with 9 goals, Roope Hintz has 5 assists, and Wyatt Johnston has 22 shots on goal. Defensively, the Dallas Stars are allowing 3.2 goals per game and are killing 88.6 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Jake Oettinger has allowed 27 goals on 304 shots faced, and Casey DeSmith has given up 1 goal on 14 shots.

Why the Dallas Stars will win

  • The home team has won 10 of the Jets’ last 11 games.
  • The Jets have lost each of their last four road games.
  • The Jets have failed to cover the puck line in eight of their last nine road games against Central Division opponents.
  • The Stars have covered the puck line in each of their last four home games against Western Conference opponents.
  • The Jets have lost the third period in seven of their last eight games as underdogs against Western Conference opponents when trailing after the second period.

Why the Winnipeg Jets will win

  • The Stars have lost seven of their last eight games as favorites.
  • The Jets have won each of their last seven night games following a road loss.
  • The Stars have failed to cover the puck line in seven of their last eight games as favorites.
  • The Jets have covered the puck line in six of their last seven night games against the Stars following a road loss.
  • The Jets have won the second period in each of their last eight games when leading after the first period.

Dallas Stars Player Prop Facts

  • Mikko Rantanen has scored at least one goal in five of the Stars’ last six playoff games against Western Conference opponents.
  • Mikko Rantanen has recorded at least one assist in each of his six previous playoff appearances with his team as a favorite against the Jets.
  • Wyatt Johnston has recorded at least one point in 17 of the Stars’ last 18 home games against Western Conference opponents.
  • Esa Lindell ranks T2nd in the Central Division for Plus/Minus (+34) this season.

Winnipeg Jets Player Prop Facts

  • Nino Niederreiter has scored a goal in three of the Jets’ last four games against the Stars.
  • Nino Niederreiter has recorded at least one point in each of his last seven playoff appearances against the Stars.
  • Josh Morrissey has recorded at least one assist in each of the Jets’ last four games as underdogs against Central Division opponents.
  • Mark Scheifele ranks T1st in the league for Game Winning Goals (11) this season.

Stars vs Jets Injury Report

Logan Stanley is questionable for the Jets, and he hasn’t played in 11 days.

The Stars will be without Miro Heiskanen and Nils Lundkvist.

Stars vs Jets Prediction

The Jets have yet to win a road game in these playoffs, and they’re losing those games by an average of 3.75 goals. That pretty much speaks for itself, folks. The Jets have seen 19 of their 27 losses this season come on the road. The Stars now have 32 wins at home, and they’ve won their playoff games when the offense shows up even a little. In fact, the Stars have won 19 of their last 28 games overall when they score at least two goals.

You can argue the Jets have been the better team this season overall and the plus money is attractive in pretty much a must win spot, but it’s hard to ignore the home / road splits for these teams. The price also isn’t steep enough to take a shot. Give me the Stars to go up 3-1 in this series.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Dallas Stars -148

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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