Stars vs Oilers Prediction 3/12/26 NHL Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Stars vs Oilers prediction for this NHL game on Thursday, March 12th at the American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Dallas Stars Betting Preview

The Dallas Stars are 40-14-10 this year after they defeated the Golden Knights by a score of 2-1 in their last game. Dallas trailed 1-0 in the second period, but they scored two goals in a four minute stretch in the second to get the win. The Stars were out shot by a total of 27-16, won 55.6% of the face-offs, and went 1-5 on the power play in the game. Dallas got goals from Back and Benn, while Oettinger stopped 26 out of 27 shots, which was a .963 save percentage. 

Prior to that game, Dallas defeated the Blackhawks by a score of 4-3, but lost to the Avalanche by a score of 5-4 before that. The Stars have won 12 of their last 13 games and they are currently second in the Central standings with 90 points. Dallas has scored 3.41 goals per game and they have allowed 2.66 goals against per game, while also going 29.7% on the power play and 80.5% on the penalty kill this season. Jason Robertson has led Dallas with 34 goals and 40 assists, while Wyatt Johnston has added 34 goals and 34 assists. The projected starting goalie for Dallas is Jake Oettinger, who is 26-10-5 with a 2.65 goals against average and an .899 save percentage this year. 

Edmonton Oilers Betting Preview

The Edmonton Oilers are 32-25-8 this season after they defeated the Avalanche by a score of 4-3 in their last game. Edmonton blew a 3-2 lead in the third period, but they scored a few minutes later to get the win. The Oilers were out shot by a total of 30-24, won 50% of the face-offs, and went 2-4 on the power play in the game. Edmonton got goals from McDavid, Nugent-Hopkins (2), and Roslovic, while Ingram stopped 16 out of 18 shots and Jarry stopped 11 out of 12. 

Prior to that game, Edmonton defeated the Golden Knights by a score of 4-2, but lost to the Hurricanes by a score of 6-3 before that. The Oilers have won three of their last four games and they are currently second in the Pacific standings with 72 points. Edmonton has scored 3.55 goals per game and they have allowed 3.35 goals against per game, while also going 33.1% on the power play and 77.2% on the penalty kill this season. Connor McDavid has led Edmonton with 36 goals and 74 assists, while Leon Draisaitl has added 34 goals and 60 assists. The projected starting goalie for Edmonton is Tristan Jarry, who is 7-5-1 with a 3.93 goals against average and an .864 save percentage for the Oilers this year. 

Why the Dallas Stars will win

• The Stars have won each of their last 10 games as favorites.
• The Oilers have lost eight of their last 10 road games following a road win.
• The Stars have covered the puck line in nine of their last 11 night games against Pacific Division opponents.
• The Oilers have failed to cover the puck line in four of their last five games against opponents on a winning streak.
• The Stars have won the second period in each of their last six games as favorites following a win.

Why the Edmonton Oilers will win

• The Oilers have won five of their last six games as underdogs against opponents on a winning streak.
• The Stars have lost each of their last five Thursday games as home favorites.
• The Oilers have covered the puck line in each of their last 10 Thursday games as underdogs.
• The Stars have failed to cover the puck line in seven of their last eight games as home favorites against Western Conference opponents.
• The Oilers have won the second period in each of their last 12 games when leading after the first period.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Stars’ last five home games against Pacific Division opponents have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Five of the Oilers’ last six games as underdogs following a road win have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Oilers’ last eight games following a road win.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Stars’ last 16 games as favorites against opponents on a winning streak.

Dallas Stars Player Prop Facts

• Jason Robertson has scored at least one goal in four of the Stars’ last five games against the Oilers.
• Matt Duchene has recorded at least one assist in seven of the Stars’ last eight games as favorites.

Edmonton Oilers Player Prop Facts

• Connor McDavid has scored a goal in each of the Oilers’ last five games as underdogs against Western Conference opponents.
• Connor McDavid has recorded at least one assist in each of the Oilers’ last 13 games against Western Conference opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Dallas Stars rank 2nd in the league for goals against per game this season (2.66).
• The Dallas Stars rank 2nd in the league in power play percentage this season (29.69%).
• The Edmonton Oilers rank 1st in the league in power play percentage this season (33.15%).
• The Edmonton Oilers rank 2nd in the league for goals per game this season (3.55).

Stars vs Oilers Prediction 

Dallas comes into this matchup after winning 12 of their last 13 games and they will be on home ice here. The Stars are 20-7-4 at home this year, while the Oilers are 16-14-4 on the road. Edmonton has won three of their last four and they have scored at least four goals in four of their last five. Both teams are dealing with injuries right now, but Edmonton has been an over machine, so I will back the over once again here.