Stars vs Penguins Prediction 4/5/25 NHL Picks Today

The Pittsburgh Penguins and the Dallas Stars meet Saturday in NHL action from the American Airlines Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Dallas Stars prediction.

Matchup History

The Dallas Stars won the lone meeting between these two teams earlier this season, in Pittsburgh on November 11^th, 2024, by a final score of 7-1. The win gave the Stars their fourth straight win in this head-to-head matchup.

Pittsburgh Penguins Recap

The Pittsburgh Penguins will be out to rebound after falling to 30-34-12 on the year after a 5-4 OT loss at the hands of the St. Louis Blues in their last game. After this matchup, the Penguins will head to Chicago to take on the Blackhawks in the first leg of a home-and-home.

Penguins Drop 4^th In Last 5 Games

Sidney Crosby has a team-high 82 points of his own with 27 goals and 55 assists while Evgeni Malkin has 46 points with 15 goals and 31 assists. Rickard Rakell has 66 points with 33 goals and 33 assists and Erik Karlsson has 52 points with 10 goals and 42 assists. Bryan Rust also has 57 points with 27 goals and 30 assists. In goal for the Penguins, Joel Blomqvist has gone 4-9-1 with a 3.81 GAA and an .885 save percentage while Tristan Jarry has gone 13-11-6 with a 3.27 GAA and an .889 save percentage this season. Alex Nedeljkovic is also 13-14-5 with a 3.19 GAA and an .892 save percentage on the year.

Why the Pittsburgh Penguins will win

• The Penguins have won five of their last seven games as underdogs against Central Division opponents.
• The Stars have lost three of their last four day games following a win.
• The Stars have failed to cover the puck line in 11 of their last 12 day games following a home win.
• The underdogs have covered the puck line in six of the Penguins’ last seven games at American Airlines Center.

Pittsburgh Penguins Player Prop Facts

• Matt Grzelcyk has recorded an assist in each of the Penguins’ last five road games.
• Sidney Crosby has recorded at least one point in each of the Penguins’ last 11 games.
• Tommy Novak has scored a goal in each of his last four appearances with his team as an underdog against the Stars.
• Kris Letang ranks 3rd in the Metropolitan Division for average time on ice (23:38) this season.

Dallas Stars Recap

The Dallas Stars come into this game looking to add on to their 5-1 win over the Nashville Predators last time out to improve to 50-21-4 on the year. After this game, Dallas will head on the road for a game against the Minnesota Wild.

Stars Win 7^th Straight

Matt Duchene has 77 points including 29 goals along with 48 assists. Jason Robertson has 77 points with 33 goals and 44 assists while Roope Hintz has 65 points with 28 goals and Jamie Benn has 45 points with 16 goals and 29 assists. Wyatt Johnston also has 68 points with 31 goals and 37 assists as well on the year. Evgenii Dadonov’s added 36 points split between 16 goals and 20 assists and Thomas Harley has 47 points with 15 goals and 32 assists as well this year. In goal for Dallas, Jake Oettinger is 36-15-3 with a 2.45 GAA and a .912 save percentage while Casey DeSmith is 14-6-1 with a 2.30 GAA and a .922 save percentage this season.

Why the Dallas Stars will win

• The Penguins have lost each of their last 17 Saturday road games.
• The favorites have won each of the Stars’ last 12 games.
• The favorites have covered the puck line in each of the Stars’ last four games.
• The Penguins have failed to cover the puck line in four of their last five road games against opponents on a winning streak.

Dallas Stars Player Prop Facts

• Wyatt Johnston has scored a goal in each of the Stars’ last six games.
• Wyatt Johnston has recorded at least one point in 17 of the Stars’ last 18 games as home favorites.
• Miro Heiskanen has recorded an assist in each of his last five appearances after playing less than 20 minutes in the Stars’ last game.
• Thomas Harley ranks T1st in the Western Conference for Plus/Minus (+36) this season.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Stars’ last eight games against the Penguins following a home win have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Eight of the Penguins’ last nine games have gone OVER the total goals line.

Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Dallas Stars Prediction

I’m on the Stars in this one. I just think we’re hitting the end of the road for the Pittsburgh Penguins who are now going to be feeling the effects of their inconsistencies and disappointments throughout the season as they’re likely missing out on the postseason when all is said and done. This is just a horrible matchup for the Penguins against a Stars team that plays their best at home and is on an absolute roll right now and I think the Stars do enough to bag the win at home in this one. Price isn’t great, but Dallas rolls in this game.