Stars vs Rangers Prediction 4/11/26 NHL Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Stars vs Rangers prediction for this NHL game on Saturday, April 11th at the American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Dallas Stars Betting Preview

The Dallas Stars are 47-20-12 this season after they defeated the Wild by a score of 5-4 in their last game. Dallas trailed 3-1 and 4-3 in the second period, but they scored two goals in the third to escape with the win. The Stars were out shot by a total of 31-20, won 49.1% of the face-offs, and went 0-1 on the power play in the game. Dallas got goals from Blackwell, Hughes, Johnston, Rantanen, and Robertson, while Oettinger stopped 27 out of 31 shots, which was an .871 save percentage. 

Prior to that game, Dallas defeated the Flames by a score of 4-3, but lost to the Avalanche by a score of 2-0 before that. The Stars have won three of their last four games and they are currently second in the Central standings with 106 points. Dallas has scored 3.32 goals per game and they have allowed 2.71 goals against per game, while also going 28.6% on the power play and 79.9% on the penalty kill this season. Jason Robertson has led Dallas with 42 goals and 50 assists, while Wyatt Johnston has added 44 goals and 40 assists. The projected starting goalie for Dallas is Jake Oettinger, who is 33-12-6 with a 2.64 goals against average and an .898 save percentage this season. 

New York Rangers Betting Preview

The New York Rangers are 33-37-9 this year after they lost to the Sabres by a score of 5-3 in their last game. New York scored three straight goals to lead 3-2 after two, but they allowed three goals in the third for the loss. The Rangers were out shot by a total of 27-20, won 55.8% of the face-offs, and went 2-3 on the power play in the game. New York got goals from Lafreniere (2) and Fox, while Shesterkin stopped 22 out of 26 shots, which was an .846 save percentage.

Prior to that game, New York defeated the Capitals by a score of 8-1 and the Red Wings by a score of 4-1. The Rangers have won five of their last seven games and they are currently last in the Metro standings with 75 points. New York has scored 2.90 goals per game and they have allowed 3.06 goals against per game, while also going 25.5% on the power play and 79.7% on the penalty kill this season. Mika Zibanejad has led NY with 33 goals and 43 assists, while Vincent Trocheck has added 16 goals and 37 assists. The projected starting goalie for New York is Igor Shesterkin, who is 25-18-6 with a 2.53 goals against average and a .911 save percentage this season. 

Why the Dallas Stars will win

• The Rangers have lost eight of their last nine games against opponents on a winning streak.
• The home team has won five of the Stars’ last six games.
• The home team has covered the puck line in eight of the Rangers’ last nine games.
• The Rangers have failed to cover the puck line in seven of their last eight away games when playing with a rest advantage.
• The Rangers have lost the third period in seven of their last eight games as underdogs against Western Conference opponents when leading after the second period.

Why the New York Rangers will win

• The Stars have lost four of their last five games as favorites against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• The Rangers have won each of their last five games when playing with a rest advantage against Stars.
• The Rangers have covered the puck line in each of their last seven games as underdogs against Central Division opponents.
• The Stars have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last seven day games.
• The Rangers have won the second period in each of their last four games against Central Division opponents when trailing after the first period.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Rangers’ last eight games as road underdogs against opponents on a winning streak have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Four of the last five games between the Rangers and Stars at American Airlines Center have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Rangers’ last eight games as road underdogs against opponents on a winning streak.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in six of the Stars’ last seven games as favorites against the Rangers.

Dallas Stars Player Prop Facts

• Wyatt Johnston has scored at least one goal in seven of the Stars’ last eight games as home favorites.
• Mikko Rantanen has recorded an assist in eight of his last nine appearances with the Stars as favorites.
• Wyatt Johnston ranks 1st in the league for Power Play Goals (26) this season.

New York Rangers Player Prop Facts

• Vincent Trocheck has scored at least one goal in four of the Rangers’ last five games against the Stars.
• Adam Fox has recorded at least one assist in each of his last nine Saturday appearances against Central Division opponents.
• Tye Kartye has recorded 63 career hits against the Stars – most against any opponent (including playoffs).

Matchup/League Facts

• The Dallas Stars rank 2nd in the league for goals against per game this season (2.71).
• The Dallas Stars rank 2nd in the league in power play percentage this season (28.57%).
• The New York Rangers rank 4th in the league in power play percentage this season (25.49%).
• The New York Rangers rank 29th in the league for shots per game this season (25.3).

Stars vs Rangers Prediction 

Dallas comes into this matchup looking to maintain their lead for second in the Central standings and they have won three of their last four games. The Stars are 25-11-4 at home this year, while the Rangers are 19-17-2 on the road. New York has won three of their last five and they have allowed three goals or fewer in four of those five. The Rangers have finished the season playing very well, but Dallas has been elite on home ice and I trust their scoring more. Take the Stars to win by at least two goals here.