Stars vs Red Wings Prediction 12/23/25 NHL Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Stars vs Red Wings Prediction for this NHL game on Tuesday, December 23^rd. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Detroit Red Wings Preview

The Red Wings have 45 points this season with a 21-13-3 record, and are 18-19 ATS and 18-15 in over/under. They have an 11-7-1 home record and a 10-6-2 road record and are sitting 1st in the Atlantic Division. They are coming off a 3-2 home overtime win over the Capitals, and their previous three games were a 5-2 road win against the Capitals, a 1-4 home loss against the Mammoth, and a 3-2 home win against the Islanders.

Offensively, the Red Wings are averaging 3.08 goals per game and are scoring 23.7% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.16 goals per game and are killing 81.4% of their opponent’s power plays.

Alex DeBrincat leads the Red Wings with 40 points and 20 goals, also leading the team in assists with 20. John Gibson is the starting goalie for the Red Wings, and he has an 11-7-1 record, with 3.01 GAA and .892 SV%. Cam Talbot is the backup goalie and he has a 10-6-2 record, with 3.00 GAA and .887 SV%.

Dallas Stars Preview

The Stars have 55 points this season with a 25-7-5 record, and are 17-20 ATS and 17-19 in over/under. They have a 12-5-1 home record and a 13-2-4 road record and are sitting 2nd in the Central Division. They are coming off a 5-1 home win over the Maple Leafs, and their previous three games were an 8-3 road win against the Ducks, a 5-3 road win against the Sharks, and a 4-1 home win against the Kings.

Offensively, the Stars are averaging 3.51 goals per game and are scoring 31.3% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 2.57 goals per game and are killing 83.9% of their opponent’s power plays.

Mikko Rantanen leads the Stars with 49 points and 35 assists, while Jason Robertson leads the team in goals with 23. Jake Oettinger is the starting goalie for the Stars, and he has a 16-6-2 record, with 2.50 GAA and .910 SV%. Casey DeSmith is the backup goalie and he has a 9-1-3 record, with 2.20 GAA and .920 SV%.

Dallas Stars @ Detroit Red Wings Betting Trends: December 23, 2025

Why the Detroit Red Wings will win

• The Red Wings have won seven of their last eight games as home underdogs.
• The Stars have lost three of their last four Tuesday games as road favorites.
• The Red Wings have covered the puck line in each of their last eight games as home underdogs following a home win.
• The Stars have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last six Tuesday games as favorites.
• The Red Wings have won the third period in each of their last six games as underdogs against Central Division opponents when leading after the second period.

Why the Dallas Stars will win

• The Stars have won eight of their last nine games against the Red Wings.
• The Red Wings have lost each of their last five games following a home win.
• The Red Wings have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last eight home games.
• The road team has covered the puck line in each of the Red Wings’ last five games.
• The Stars have won the second period in seven of their last eight games against Atlantic Division opponents when trailing after the first period.

Total Goals Facts

• Nine of the Red Wings’ last 10 home games following an overtime win have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Each of the Stars’ last five night games against the Red Wings following a win have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Stars’ last 12 games as favorites against opponents on a winning streak.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in each of the last seven games between the Stars and Red Wings.

Detroit Red Wings Player Prop Facts

• Dylan Larkin has scored a goal in four of the Red Wings’ last five games as underdogs.
• Dylan Larkin has recorded at least one assist in each of his last four appearances against the Stars.
• Alex DeBrincat has recorded 15 career blocks against the Stars – most against any opponent (including playoffs).

Dallas Stars Player Prop Facts

• Jason Robertson has scored a goal in four of the Stars’ last five games against the Red Wings.
• Miro Heiskanen has recorded at least one assist in each of his last six appearances against the Red Wings.
• Wyatt Johnston ranks 1st in the league for Power Play Goals (13) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Detroit Red Wings rank 8th in the league in power play percentage this season (23.68%).
• The Detroit Red Wings rank 32nd in the league in short handed goals this season (0).
• The Dallas Stars rank 2nd in the league for goals per game this season (3.51).
• The Dallas Stars rank 2nd in the league in power play percentage this season (31.25%).

Stars vs Red Wings Prediction

The Stars are 8-1 in their last 9 meetings against the Red Wings and the over is 4-1 in their last 5 meetings.

In this Stars vs Red Wings Prediction, the Stars are coming as -119 road favorites. The Stars have been the better team this season and have been even better on the road, with 13 wins. They are coming into this matchup in very good form, as they have won their last four games, averaging 5.5 goals per game in that span. The Red Wings have been playing good hockey as well lately, as they are 7-2 in their last 9 games and are averaging 3.4 goals per game in their last 10 games. The Stars are second-best in the league both in goals per game and in power play percentage, so I expect a high-scoring affair today. Take the over 6 in this one.