Tampa Bay Lightning vs Colorado Avalanche Prediction 11-25-24 NHL Picks

In this article we will formulate a Tampa Bay Lightning vs Colorado Avalanche prediction for this NHL game on Monday, November 25th at Amalie Arena in Tampa, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup. 

Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Lightning are 10-7-2 this season after they lost to Dallas by a score of 4-2 in their last game. Tampa Bay led 2-1 in the first period, but they allowed the last three goals in the game for the loss. The Lightning out shot Dallas by a total of 29-28, won 56.1% of the face-offs, and went 0-3 on the power play in the game. Tampa Bay got both goals from Cirelli, while Vasilevskiy stopped 24 out of 28 shots in the loss. 

Prior to that game, the Lightning lost to Columbus by a score of 7-6, but did win the three games before that. Tampa Bay has scored 3.58 goals per game and they have allowed 3.05 goals against per game, while also going 20.3% on the power play and 76.3% on the penalty kill this season. Nikita Kucherov has led Tampa Bay with 11 goals, 18 assists, and 72 shots on goal, while Andrei Vasilevskiy is 9-6-1 with a 2.13 goals against average and a .915 save percentage this year. 

Colorado Avalanche Betting Preview

The Colorado Avalanche are 12-9-0 this year after they defeated Florida by a score of 7-4 in their last game. Colorado trailed 2-1 in the second period, but they scored six of the next seven goals to pull away with the win. The Avalanche were out shot by a total of 31-25, won 39.4% of the face-offs, and went 0-1 on the power play in the game. Colorado got goals from Drouin (2), Nichushkin, O’Connor, Rantanen, Girard, and Kylington, while Georgiev stopped 27 out of 31 shots in the game. 

Prior to that win, the Avalanche defeated Washington by a score of 2-1 and Philadelphia by a score of 3-2. Colorado has scored 3.48 goals per game and they have allowed 3.57 goals against per game, while also averaging 30.3% on the power play and 74.5% on the penalty kill this season. Nathan MacKinnon has led Colorado with seven goals, 28 assists, and 74 shots on goal, while Alexandar Georgiev is 6-5-0 with a 3.37 goals against average and an .874 save percentage this year. 

Why the Avalanche will beat the Lightning

• The Avalanche have won each of their last seven games as road favorites.
• The Lightning have lost four of their last five games against Central Division opponents.
• The Lightning have failed to cover the puck line in seven of their last eight games as underdogs against Central Division opponents.
• The Avalanche have covered the puck line in each of their last four games as road favorites against opponents on a losing streak.
• The Avalanche have won the second period in each of their last six games following a road win.

Total Goals Facts

• Seven of the Avalanche’s last eight night games against opponents on a losing streak have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Each of the Lightning’s last four games at Amalie Arena against opponents on a winning streak have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in each of the Avalanche’s last 11 games as favorites against opponents on a losing streak.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3’ market has hit in each of the Lightning’s last seven games as underdogs against Central Division opponents.

Tampa Bay Lightning Player Prop Facts

• Nikita Kucherov has recorded at least one point in 18 of the Lightning’s last 19 games as underdogs.
• Nikita Kucherov has recorded at least one assist in 15 of the Lightning’s last 16 games as underdogs.
• Anthony Cirelli has scored at least one goal in each of the Lightning’s last five games.

Colorado Avalanche Player Prop Facts

• Nathan MacKinnon has recorded at least one point in each of the Avalanche’s last 13 games as favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
• Mikko Rantanen has recorded at least one assist in each of the Avalanche’s last nine games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• Valeri Nichushkin has scored a goal in six of his last eight appearances in road games.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Tampa Bay Lightning rank 5th in the league for goals per game this season (3.58).
• The Tampa Bay Lightning rank 5th in the league for Period 1 goals scored per game this season (1.11).
• The Colorado Avalanche rank 3rd in the league in power play percentage this season (30.30%).
• The Colorado Avalanche rank 29th in the league for goals against per game this season (3.57).

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Colorado Avalanche Prediction 

Colorado comes into this matchup on a three game winning streak and they just put up seven goals against the Panthers. The Avalanche are 6-3-0 on the road this year, while the Lightning are 6-2-1 at home. Tampa Bay has lost two games in a row and they have allowed four and seven goals in those two games. Both of these teams are pretty high scoring and Colorado has one of the best power plays in the league. This should be a great game to watch, but I have to side with Colorado in their current form.