Tampa Bay Lightning vs Philadelphia Flyers Prediction 11-7-24 NHL Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Tampa Bay Lightning vs Philadelphia Flyers prediction for this NHL game on Thursday, November 7th at Amalie Arena in Tampa, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup. 

Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Lightning are 7-6-0 this year after they lost to St. Louis by a score of 3-2 in their last game. Tampa Bay led 1-0 early in the second period, but they allowed the next three goals for the loss. The Lightning recorded 23 shots on goal, won 52.4% of the face-offs, and went 0-3 on the power play in the game. Tampa Bay got goals from Hedman and Perbix, while Vasilevskiy stopped 20 out of 23 shots in the loss. 

Prior to that game, the Lightning lost to Winnipeg by a score of 7-4 and Minnesota by a score of 5-3. Tampa Bay has scored 3.69 goals per game and they have allowed 3.31 goals against per game, while also going 18.6% on the power play and 73.8% on the penalty kill this season. Nikita Kucherov has led Tampa Bay with 10 goals, 12 assists, and 50 shots on goal, while Andrei Vasilevskiy is 6-5-0 with a 2.54 goals-against average and a .903 save percentage. 

Philadelphia Flyers Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Flyers are 4-8-1 this season after they lost to Carolina by a score of 6-4 in their last game. Philadelphia erased a 3-1 and 4-3 deficit in the third period, but they allowed two goals in the final 31 seconds for the loss. The Flyers were outshot by a total of 35-16, won 58.9% of the face-offs, and went 1-3 on the power play in the game. Philadelphia got goals from Frost and Konecny (2), while Kolosov stopped 29 out of 34 shots in the loss. 

Prior to that game, the Flyers lost to Boston by a score of 3-0 but did beat St. Louis and Boston before that. Philadelphia has scored 2.62 goals per game and they have allowed 3.85 goals against per game, while also going 20% on the power play and 88.9% on the penalty kill this season. Travis Konecny has led Philadelphia with seven goals, seven assists, and 33 shots on goal, while Samuel Ersson is 4-2-1 with a 2.68 goals-against average and a .901 save percentage this year. 

Why the Lightning will beat the Flyers

• The Lightning have won seven of their last eight home games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• The Flyers have lost seven of their last eight night games following a road loss.
• The Flyers have failed to cover the puck line in seven of their last eight games against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The Lightning have covered the puck line in seven of their last eight night games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• The Lightning have won the second period in eight of their last nine games against the Flyers.

Why the Flyers will beat the Lightning

• The Lightning have lost each of their last three games as favorites following a road loss.
• The Flyers have covered the puck line in each of their last four games as road underdogs against opponents on a losing streak.
• The Lightning have failed to cover the puck line in four of their last five games.
• The Lightning have lost the second period in four of their last five games.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the last four games between the Flyers and Lightning has gone OVER the total goals line.
• Each of the Flyers’ last four games against the Lightning following a road loss has gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3’ market has hit in each of the Lightning’s last 14 games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Flyers’ last eight games following a road loss.

Tampa Bay Lightning Player Prop Facts

• Nikita Kucherov has recorded at least one point in each of the Lightning’s last 15 home games against Eastern Conference opponents.
• Nikita Kucherov has recorded at least one assist in each of the Lightning’s last 12 games against Eastern Conference opponents.
• Brayden Point has scored a goal in four of the Lightning’s last five games against Eastern Conference opponents.

Philadelphia Flyers Player Prop Facts

• Travis Konecny has scored at least one goal in three of the Flyers’ last four road games against Eastern Conference opponents.
• Ryan Ellis has recorded at least one point in seven of his last eight appearances.
• Ryan Ellis has recorded an assist in five of his last six appearances with his team as an underdog.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Philadelphia Flyers Prediction 

Both of these teams come into this matchup on small losing streaks and will be looking to turn things around, but Tampa Bay will be on home ice, where they are 4-1-0 so far this season. The Lightning have only scored nine goals in their last three games, but they do have a very solid offensive attack and will face a Flyers team that is struggling on defense. Philadelphia is just 2-4-1 on the road and they have allowed at least four goals in eight of their last twelve games. The Flyers are also dealing with an injury to Ersson, so we may see the backup goalie here. I am fading this Philly defense and I am taking the over in this matchup.