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Toronto Maple Leafs vs Arizona Coyotes Prediction 2-29-24 Picks

Arizona Coyotes (23-30-5) vs. Toronto Maple Leafs (33-17-8)
February 29, 2024 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Toronto Maple Leafs -250 / Arizona Coyotes +210; Over/Under: +6.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Arizona Coyotes will play the Toronto Maple Leafs on Thursday night at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, Ontario. Let’s take a look at the Coyotes preview, Maple Leafs preview, betting matchup, and the Coyotes vs Maple Leafs prediction.

Coyotes Preview

The Arizona Coyotes are 23-30-5 this year and they have lost 13 games in a row. Arizona is coming off of a road loss to Montreal by a score of 4-2 in their last game. The Coyotes cut the deficit to 3-2 late in the third period, but they allowed an empty net goal with just a few seconds left for the two-goal loss. The Coyotes out shot Montreal by a total of 38-21 and went 0-3 on the power play in the game. Arizona has lost 13 games in a row and they have allowed four goals or more in 10 of them. The Coyotes are scoring 2.86 goals per game and they are allowing 3.31 goals against per game, while going 21.7% on the power play and 78% on the penalty kill. Clayton Keller (day to day) has led Arizona with 22 goals, 30 assists, and 165 shots on goal. The projected starting goalie for Arizona is Connor Ingram, who is 17-14-3 this year with a 2.81 goals against average and a .910 save percentage. 

Maple Leafs Preview

The Toronto Maple Leafs are 33-17-8 this season and they have won seven of their last eight games. Toronto is coming off of a home loss to Vegas by a score of 6-2 in their last game. The Maple Leafs allowed three goals in the second period and three goals in the third for the four-goal loss. Toronto was out shot by a total of 32-30 and went 0-1 on the power play in the game. The Leafs had won their previous seven games, scoring at least four goals in all seven. The Maple Leafs are scoring 3.66 goals per game and they are allowing 3.17 goals against per game, while going 29.1% on the power play and 77.6% on the penalty kill. William Nylander has led Toronto with 31 goals, 48 assists, and 238 shots on goal. The projected starting goalie for Toronto is Ilya Samsonov, who is 14-5-6 this season with a 3.25 goals against average and a .881 save percentage. 

Toronto Maple Leafs Team Facts

  • The Maple Leafs have won each of their last seven games against Central Division opponents.
  • The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in 12 of their last 13 games as favorites following a home loss.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Maple Leafs’ last 11 games following a home loss.
  • The underdogs have won the second period in each of the last four games between the Coyotes and Maple Leafs at Scotiabank Arena.

Arizona Coyotes Team Facts

  • The Coyotes have lost each of their last 11 night games.
  • The Coyotes have covered the puck line in each of their last eight night games at Scotiabank Arena.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Coyotes’ last five games as underdogs.
  • The Coyotes have lost the first period in each of their last seven night games against Atlantic Division opponents.

Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts

  • Mitch Marner has recorded two or more points in seven of his last eight appearances.
  • Auston Matthews has scored at least one goal in each of the Maple Leafs’ last six Thursday games.
  • Mitch Marner has recorded at least one assist in seven of his last eight appearances.
  • Auston Matthews ranks 1st in the league for multi-goal games (15) this season.

Arizona Coyotes Player Prop Facts

  • Jason Zucker has scored a goal in three of his last four appearances in night games at Scotiabank Arena.
  • Lawson Crouse has recorded at least one point in each of the Coyotes’ last seven Thursday night games against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • Nick Bjugstad has recorded an assist in each of his last four appearances with his team as an underdog against the Maple Leafs.
  • Nick Schmaltz has recorded three hits against the Maple Leafs this season – most against any opponent.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 1st in the league for Period 2 goals scored per game this season (1.33).
  • The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 5th in the league for Period 1 goals scored per game this season (1.05).
  • The Arizona Coyotes rank 31st in the league for Period 1 goals allowed per game this season (1.14).
  • The Arizona Coyotes rank 30th in the league for shots per game this season (27.0).

Coyotes vs Maple Leafs Betting Prediction

Toronto comes into this game after picking up a loss in their last game, but they have been one of the best teams in hockey over the last two weeks. The Maple Leafs will look to start a new winning streak in this game and they should have no issue doing that against a bad Arizona team. The Coyotes have lost 13 games in a row and they are only 8-16-5 on the road. Arizona has really struggled defensively during this losing streak, which is bad news against this Maple Leafs offensive attack. Take Toronto -1.5 in this game. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Maple Leafs -1.5

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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