Toronto Maple Leafs vs Buffalo Sabres Prediction 1/27/26 NHL Picks Today
Buffalo Sabres (29-17-5) vs. Toronto Maple Leafs (24-19-9)
January 27, 2026 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Toronto Maple Leafs -115 / Buffalo Sabres -105; Over/Under: 6.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Buffalo Sabres and the Toronto Maple Leafs meet Tuesday in NHL action from the Scotiabank Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Buffalo Sabres vs. Toronto Maple Leafs prediction.
Buffalo Sabres Recap
The Buffalo Sabres come into this game looking to add on to their 5-0 win over the Islanders last time out to improve to 29-17-5 this season. After this game, Buffalo will head home for a game against the Los Angeles Kings.
Sabres Win 3 Straight
Tage Thompson leads the Sabres in scoring with 50 points coming on a team-high 25 goals and 25 assists while Alex Tuch has 40 points with 17 goals and 23 assists and Rasmus Dahlin has 34 points with a team-high 28 assists. Josh Doan has 34 points with 15 goals and 19 assists and Ryan McLeod has 31 points with 11 goals and 20 assists. Bowen Byram has 25 points with 10 goals and 15 assists while Jack Quinn’s added 27 points with 11 goals and 16 assists this season. Alex Lyon has gone 12-6-3 with a 2.70 GAA and a .911 save percentage in goal for Buffalo while Colten Ellis is 6-4 with a 3.10 GAA and an .898 save percentage so far this season. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen has gone 11-7-2 with a 2.66 GAA and a .905 save percentage up to this point in the year.
Why the Buffalo Sabres will win
- The Sabres have won each of their last 13 night games following a road win.
- The Maple Leafs have lost seven of their last eight games as favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
- The Sabres have covered the puck line in each of their last eight games as underdogs.
- The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last eight games as favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
Buffalo Sabres Player Prop Facts
- Jason Zucker has scored at least one goal in five of his last six road appearances against Eastern Conference opponents.
- Tage Thompson has recorded at least one assist in each of the Sabres’ last four games against Atlantic Division opponents.
- Mattias Samuelsson has scored two goals against the Maple Leafs this season – most against any opponent.
Toronto Maple Leafs Recap
The Toronto Maple Leafs come into this game looking to shake off a 4-1 loss at the hands of Colorado last time out to sit at 24-19-9 this season. After this game, Toronto will head on the road for a game against the Seattle Kraken.
Maple Leafs Lose 4 Straight
William Nylander leads the Maple Leafs with 48 points on 17 goals and a team-high 31 assists while John Tavares has 44 points with 19 goals and 25 assists and Matthew Knies has 43 points with 12 goals and 31 assists. Auston Matthews has 42 points with 25 goals and 17 assists and Morgan Rielly has 30 points with 24 assists. Oliver Ekman-Larsson has 31 points with 23 assists. Anthony Stolarz has gone 6-6-1 with a 3.63 GAA and an .880 save percentage in goal for the Maple Leafs while Joseph Woll is 11-6-4 with a 2.86 GAA and a .913 save percentage. Dennis Hildeby is also 5-6-4 with a 2.90 GAA and a .912 save percentage this season.
Why the Toronto Maple Leafs will win
- The Maple Leafs have won seven of their last eight home games against the Sabres following a loss.
- The Sabres have lost 15 of their last 16 games as an away underdog when playing with a rest advantage.
- The Sabres have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last four games as an away underdog when playing with a rest advantage.
- The Maple Leafs have covered the puck line in five of their last six home games against Eastern Conference opponents.
Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts
- Nicholas Robertson has scored a goal in each of his last five appearances against the Sabres.
- William Nylander has recorded at least one assist in 12 of his last 13 appearances with the Maple Leafs as home favorites.
- Brandon Carlo has recorded two assists against the Sabres this season – most against any opponent.
Total Goals Facts
- Each of the Sabres’ last seven games at Scotiabank Arena against opponents on a losing streak have gone OVER the total goals line.
- Eight of the Maple Leafs’ last nine home games against opponents on a winning streak have gone OVER the total goals line.
- Four of the last five games between teams from the same division have gone OVER the total goals line.
Buffalo Sabres vs. Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction
I’m on the Maple Leafs here. I get the case to be made for Buffalo here, as the Sabres have been the much hotter team up to this point in the year. However, Toronto is in must-win mode and need to take advantage of these spots against teams ahead of them in the Wild Card race to make up ground, especially at home where they’ve been at their best this season. The Leafs are running out of time and need a W here badly and I think they get it. Give me Toronto.