Toronto Maple Leafs vs Calgary Flames prediction 11-10-23 NHL Picks
Toronto Maple Leafs (6-5-2) vs Calgary Flames (4-7-1)
2023-11-10 19:00:00 EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Toronto Maple Leafs -154 / Calgary Flames +139 --- Over/Under: 6.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Calgary Flames and the Toronto Maple Leafs meet in NHL action from Scotiabank Arena on Friday night.
Calgary Grabs Back-To-Back Wins
The Calgary Flames come into this one looking to build on their 4-2 win over the Nashville Predators in their last matchup. Elias Lindholm leads the Flames in scoring with 8 points including a team-high 6 assists while Andrew Mangiapane has 7 points with a team-high 4 goals. Nazem Kadri also has 7 points with 5 assists, while Noah Hanifin and Jonathan Huberdeau each have 6 points with 2 goals and 4 assists this season. Jacob Markstrom has gone 2-6-1 with a 2.91 GAA and an .896 save percentage while Dan Vladar is 2-1 with a 4.00 GAA and an .844 save percentage this season.
Calgary Flames Team Facts
- The Flames have lost nine of their last 11 night games against Atlantic Division opponents.
- The Flames have failed to cover the puck line in 11 of their last 12 games following a home win.
- The Flames have lost the first period in four of their last five games.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in seven of the Flames’ last eight games against Atlantic Division opponents.
Maple Leafs Fall To Senators
The Toronto Maple Leafs are looking to rebound from a 6-3 loss to Ottawa in their last matchup. Auston Matthews leads the Leafs in scoring with 19 points including a team-high 13 goals while William Nylander is right behind with 18 points along with 7 goals and 11 assists. Mitch Marner has 17 points with a team-high 12 assists while John Tavarez has 14 points with 5 goals and 9 assists this season. Joseph Woll has posted a 4-4 record with a 2.79 GAA and a .914 save percentage while Ilya Samsonov is 2-1-2 with a 4.11 GAA and an .855 save percentage between the pipes for Toronto this season.
Toronto Maple Leafs Team Facts
- The underdogs have won six of the Maple Leafs’ last seven games.
- The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last 10 games following a loss.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Maple Leafs’ last four home games.
- The Maple Leafs have won the second period in each of their last four games as favorites following a home loss.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Toronto Maple Leafs ranks 29th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (71.43%).
- The Toronto Maple Leafs ranks 28th in the league for goals against per game this season (3.62).
- The Calgary Flames ranks 3rd in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (90.00%).
- The Calgary Flames ranks 25th in the league for goals per game this season (2.67).
Chris’ Pick
I’m rolling with the over here. I don’t trust Calgary’s defense at the best of times and Toronto has one of the most potent offenses in the league, but Toronto’s given up 4+ goals in each of their home games this season which is a crazy statistic but is the full-on truth. I think we have another high-scoring affair brewing here so give me the over.