Toronto Maple Leafs vs NY Islanders Prediction 10/17/26 NHL Picks Today

The New York Islanders and the Toronto Maple Leafs meet Saturday in NHL action from the Scotiabank Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a New York Islanders vs. Toronto Maple Leafs prediction.

New York Islanders Recap

The New York Islanders come into this game looking to bounce back from their 2-1 shootout loss at the hands of the Ottawa Senators last time out to sit at 3-3-1 this season. After this game, the Islanders will head home for a game against the Anaheim Ducks.

Islanders Alternate Wins & Losses In First 7 Games

Bo Horvat leads the squad with 7 points, totaling 4 goals and 3 assists. Matthew Schaefer and Matias Maccelli sit tied for second with 6 points apiece, with Schaefer contributing 6 assists while Maccelli records 2 goals and 4 assists. Brayden Schenn chips in 5 points with 2 goals and 3 assists, while Logan Stanley adds 4 points on 4 assists. Jean-Gabriel Pageau records 3 points with a goal and 2 assists, while Victor Eklund, Calum Ritchie, Emil Heineman, Simon Holmstrom, Tony DeAngelo, Adam Pelech, Ondrej Palat, Kyle Palmieri, and Casey Cizikas round out the Islanders’ scoring with 2 points each. In net, Ilya Sorokin holds a 3-2-0 record with a 1.81 GAA and a .934 save percentage after stopping 128 of 137 shots, while Semyon Varlamov posts an 0-1-1 mark with a 1.93 GAA and a .902 save percentage after stopping 37 of 41 shots.

Toronto Maple Leafs Recap

The Toronto Maple Leafs come into this game looking to bounce back from their 5-4 OT loss at the hands of the Sabres last time out to sit at 3-3-2 this season. After this game, the Maple Leafs will take on the San Jose Sharks in a matchup at home.

Maple Leafs Lose Back-To-Back Games

Auston Matthews leads the Toronto Maple Leafs through eight games this season with a team-high 13 points, totaling 6 goals and 7 assists. William Nylander sits in second with 12 points on 5 goals and 7 assists, while Kirill Marchenko records 9 points with 4 goals and 5 assists. John Tavares chips in 7 points with 2 goals and 5 assists, while Easton Cowan and Jack Roslovic each add 6 points on 3 goals and 3 assists apiece. Gavin McKenna records 5 points with 2 goals and 3 assists, while Nick Paul, Darren Raddysh, and Morgan Rielly round out the primary offensive contributors with 4 points each. In net for the Maple Leafs, Sergei Bobrovsky holds a 1-2-2 record with a 3.34 GAA and an .896 save percentage after stopping 146 of 163 shots, while Anthony Stolarz posts a 2-1-0 mark with a 3.32 GAA and an .875 save percentage after stopping 70 of 80 shots.

New York Islanders @ Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Trends: October 17, 2026

Why the Toronto Maple Leafs will win

• The Islanders have lost each of their last seven road games.
• The Maple Leafs have won each of their last four home games against the Islanders after coming off overtime.
• The Maple Leafs have covered the puck line in three of their last four games.
• The favorites have won the second period in nine of the Maple Leafs’ last 10 games at Scotiabank Arena.

Why the New York Islanders will win

• The Maple Leafs have lost seven of their last eight games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The Islanders have won four of their last five games as underdogs after coming off overtime.
• The underdogs have covered the puck line in each of the Maple Leafs’ last eight games.
• The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last eight games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The Islanders have won the second period in each of their last five games as road underdogs following a shootout loss.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Maple Leafs’ last five games have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Four of the Islanders’ last five games against Atlantic Division opponents have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Seven of the last eight Saturday night games have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Maple Leafs’ last 13 games after coming off overtime.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Islanders’ last four games against opponents on a losing streak.

Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts

• Easton Cowan has recorded an assist in five of the Maple Leafs’ last six games against Eastern Conference opponents.
• Auston Matthews has scored at least one goal in five of the Maple Leafs’ last six games.
• William Nylander has recorded at least four shots in each of his last four appearances – equal-longest active streak in the league.

New York Islanders Player Prop Facts

• Emil Heineman has scored a goal in each of the Islanders’ last four games against the Maple Leafs.
• Mathew Barzal has recorded at least one assist in seven of his last eight appearances in road games.
• Bo Horvat has recorded at least one shot in each of his last 68 appearances – longest active streak in the league.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 1st in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (96.15%).
• The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 4th in the league in power play percentage this season (29.63%).
• The New York Islanders rank 3rd in the league for goals against per game this season (2.29).
• The New York Islanders rank T1st in the league in short handed goals allowed this season (0).

New York Islanders vs. Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction

I’m on the Maple Leafs in this one. I think Toronto’s issues have come against teams that can fire back against them offensively and right now I just don’t trust the Islanders to do that with how inconsistent the offense has been this season. Toronto is at home which should also help here so just based on the Islanders’ inconsistency, I have to back Toronto here.