NHL Picks

Toronto Maple Leafs vs NY Islanders Prediction 3/17/26 NHL Picks Today

NY Islanders (38-24-5) vs. Toronto Maple Leafs (29-27-12)
March 17, 2026 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Toronto Maple Leafs +120 / NY Islanders -142; Over/Under: 5.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The New York Islanders and the Toronto Maple Leafs meet Tuesday in NHL action from the Scotiabank Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a New York Islanders vs. Toronto Maple Leafs prediction.

New York Islanders Recap

The New York Islanders come into this game looking to add on to their 3-2 win over Calgary last time out to sit at 38-24-5 this season. After this game, New York will head on the road for a game against Ottawa.

Islanders Win 3 Of Last 4

Mathew Barzal has 60 points with 18 goals and a team-high 42 assists while Bo Horvat has 47 points with 28 goals and 19 assists. Matthew Schaefer has 48 points with 20 goals and 28 assists and Anders Lee has 35 points with 15 goals and 20 assists. Emil Heineman has 26 points with 18 goals and 8 assists. Jonathan Drouin has 21 points with 18 assists and Simon Holmstrom has 35 points with 16 goals and 19 assists. Ilya Sorokin is 24-15-2 with a 2.52 GAA and a .913 save percentage while David Rittich is 14-9-3 with a 2.66 GAA and an .899 save percentage in goal for the Islanders so far this season.

Why the New York Islanders will win

  • The Maple Leafs have lost each of their last 11 games against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • The Islanders have won 10 of their last 11 night games against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in eight of their last nine home games.
  • The Islanders have covered the puck line in seven of their last eight games against the Maple Leafs.

New York Islanders Player Prop Facts

  • Bo Horvat has scored at least one goal in each of his last nine Tuesday appearances.
  • Anthony Duclair has recorded an assist in each of his last six appearances in night games at Scotiabank Arena.
  • Jean-Gabriel Pageau ranks 1st amongst qualified players for shooting percentage (22.4%) this season.

Toronto Maple Leafs Recap

The Toronto Maple Leafs come into this game looking to add on to their 4-2 win over the Minnesota Wild last time out to sit at 29-27-12 this season. After this game, the Maple Leafs will take on the Carolina Hurricanes at home.

Maple Leafs Alternate Wins & Losses In 4 Straight

William Nylander leads the Maple Leafs with 63 points on 23 goals and a team-high 40 assists while John Tavares has 55 points with 23 goals and 32 assists and Matthew Knies has 57 points with 18 goals and 39 assists. Auston Matthews has 53 points with 27 goals and 26 assists and Morgan Rielly has 33 points with 24 assists. Oliver Ekman-Larsson has 35 points with 27 assists. Anthony Stolarz has gone 8-9-3 with a 3.34 GAA and an .894 save percentage in goal for the Maple Leafs while Joseph Woll is 14-11-5 with a 3.13 GAA and a .905 save percentage. Dennis Hildeby is also 5-6-4 with a 2.90 GAA and a .912 save percentage this season.

Why the Toronto Maple Leafs will win

  • The Islanders have lost eight of their last 10 games as road favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • The Maple Leafs have won each of their last three games as a home underdog when playing with a rest disadvantage.
  • The Islanders have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last 10 games as road favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • The underdogs have covered the puck line in eight of the Islanders’ last nine games.

Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts

  • William Nylander has scored at least one goal in six of his last seven appearances in home games.
  • John Tavares has recorded an assist in each of the Maple Leafs’ last five home games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
  • William Nylander ranks 2nd amongst qualified Atlantic Division players for shooting percentage (20.2%) this season.

Total Goals Facts

  • Each of the Maple Leafs’ last seven Tuesday games as home underdogs have gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • Each of the Islanders’ last four road games following a home win have gone UNDER the total goals line.

New York Islanders vs. Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction

I’m on the Islanders in this one. I get the case to be made for Toronto off of a rare win over a solid Minnesota team, and maybe getting back home can help Toronto build some momentum to close out the year, but until I see sustained success from Toronto, it’s hard to feel good about Toronto right now. The Islanders are the better team right now and I think the Isles get it done here so give me New York.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: NY Islanders -142

Need More? Get Premium Picks

Chris Ruffolo

Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg

Related Articles

Back to top button