Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ottawa Senators Prediction 2/28/26 NHL Picks Today

The Ottawa Senators and the Toronto Maple Leafs meet Saturday in NHL action from the Scotiabank Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Ottawa Senators vs. Toronto Maple Leafs prediction.

Ottawa Senators Recap

The Ottawa Senators come into this game looking to shake off a 2-1 OT loss at the hands of Detroit last time out to sit at 28-22-8 this season. After this game, Ottawa will head on the road again for a game against Edmonton.

Senators Alternate Wins & Losses In 4 Straight

Tim Stutzle leads the Senators with 62 points coming on a team-high 28 goals and 34 assists while Drake Batherson has 49 points with 19 goals and 30 assists. Shane Pinto has 29 points with 15 goals and 14 assists while Dylan Cozens has 43 points with 18 goals and 25 assists. Claude Giroux has 39 points with 11 goals and 28 assists, Brady Tkachuk has 38 points with 15 goals and 23 assists and Jake Sanderson has 47 points with 11 goals and 36 assists. Linus Ullmark has gone 16-8-6 with a 2.83 GAA and an .884 save percentage in goal for Ottawa while Leevi Merilainen has gone 8-10-1 with a 3.51 GAA and an .860 save percentage as well this season. James Reimer has also gone 3-3-1 with a 2.90 GAA and an .870 save percentage this season.

Why the Ottawa Senators will win

• The Maple Leafs have lost each of their last five home games.
• The Senators have won eight of their last nine games as road favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last five home games.
• The road team has covered the puck line in five of the last six games between the Senators and Maple Leafs.

Ottawa Senators Player Prop Facts

• Tim Stutzle has scored at least one goal in each of the Senators’ last seven games as road favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
• Brady Tkachuk has recorded an assist in each of the Senators’ last four road games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• Stephen Halliday has recorded two assists against the Maple Leafs this season – most against any opponent.

Toronto Maple Leafs Recap

The Toronto Maple Leafs come into this game looking to shake off a 5-1 loss at the hands of Florida in their last game to sit at 27-23-9 this season. After this game, Toronto will take on the Philadelphia Flyers at home.

Maple Leafs Lose Back-To-Back Games

William Nylander leads the Maple Leafs with 54 points on 18 goals and a team-high 36 assists while John Tavares has 49 points with 22 goals and 27 assists and Matthew Knies has 48 points with 15 goals and 33 assists. Auston Matthews has 50 points with 26 goals and 24 assists and Morgan Rielly has 31 points with 24 assists. Oliver Ekman-Larsson has 35 points with 27 assists. Anthony Stolarz has gone 7-8-1 with a 3.60 GAA and an .882 save percentage in goal for the Maple Leafs while Joseph Woll is 13-8-4 with a 2.92 GAA and a .910 save percentage. Dennis Hildeby is also 5-6-4 with a 2.90 GAA and a .912 save percentage this season.

Why the Toronto Maple Leafs will win

• The Senators have lost each of their last six games as favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The Maple Leafs have won each of their last four games as home underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The underdogs have covered the puck line in 13 of the last 14 games between the Senators and Maple Leafs.
• The Senators have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last six games as favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.

Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts

• Auston Matthews has scored a goal in each of his last four appearances with the Maple Leafs as home underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents.
• Auston Matthews has recorded an assist in each of the Maple Leafs’ last five games.
• John Tavares has scored a goal in each of his last three appearances – equal-longest active streak in the league.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Senators’ last seven road games against opponents on a losing streak have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Each of the Maple Leafs’ last seven Saturday games as underdogs have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Each of the last three games between two teams from the Atlantic Division have gone UNDER the total goals line.

Ottawa Senators vs. Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction

I’m on the Maple Leafs here. Toronto needs a bounce back win at home after those horrible showings in Florida and the Leafs are running out of time to make a move in the East. Ottawa is in the mix in the East as well, but this is a rivalry game and truth be told, Ottawa is a team I see showing some regression down the stretch. If Toronto can’t get it done here, it may be time to wrap it up. Give me the Maple Leafs.