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Toronto Maple Leafs vs Philadelphia Flyers Prediction 1-5-25 NHL Picks

Philadelphia Flyers (17-18-4) vs. Toronto Maple Leafs (25-13-2)
January 5, 2025 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Toronto Maple Leafs -175 / Philadelphia Flyers +145; Over/Under: +6.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Philadelphia Flyers and Toronto Maple Leafs meet Sunday in NHL action at the Scotiabank Arena. Here’s a Toronto Maple Leafs vs Philadelphia Flyers Prediction. This article will include a Toronto Maple Leafs vs Philadelphia Flyers Pick.

Philadelphia Flyers Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Flyers lost to the Golden Knights, beat the Sharks, and they play the Stars, Ducks, and Panthers next. The Philadelphia Flyers are averaging 3.03 goals per game and are scoring 15.9 percent of their power play opportunities. Travis Konecny leads Philadelphia with 18 goals, Matvei Michkov has 17 assists and Owen Tippett has 101 shots on goal. Defensively, the Philadelphia Flyers are allowing 3.56 goals per game and are killing 78.3 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Aleksei Kolosov has allowed 45 goals on 347 shots faced, and Samuel Ersson has given up 51 goals on 439 shots.


Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Preview

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Islanders and Bruins, and they play the Hurricanes, Canucks, and Stars next. The Toronto Maple Leafs are averaging 3.15 goals per game and are scoring 20.7 percent of their power play opportunities. William Nylander leads Toronto with 23 shots on goal, Mitch Marner has 42 shots on goal and John Tavares has 112 shots on goal. Defensively, the Toronto Maple Leafs are allowing 2.78 goals per game and are killing 82.3 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Anthony Stolarz has allowed 35 goals on 480 shots faced, and Joseph Woll has given up 46 goals on 534 shots.

Why the Toronto Maple Leafs will win

  • The favorites have won each of the Flyers’ last 11 games.
  • The Flyers have lost each of their last eight games as underdogs.
  • The Maple Leafs have covered the puck line in each of their last six games on the second leg of a back-to-back against the Flyers.
  • The Flyers have failed to cover the puck line in five of their last six games as underdogs against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back.
  • The favorites have won the third period in each of the Flyers’ last seven games.

Why the Philadelphia Flyers will win

  • The Maple Leafs have lost three of their last four games as home favorites against Metropolitan Division opponents.
  • The Flyers have won six of their last seven games at Scotiabank Arena against opponents on a winning streak.
  • The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last six games as favorites following a home win.
  • The Flyers have covered the puck line in each of their last four road games against opponents on a winning streak.
  • The road team has won the third period in each of the last four games between the Flyers and Maple Leafs.

Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts

  • Auston Matthews has scored the last goal in three of his last four home appearances after playing less than 20 minutes the previous day.
  • Auston Matthews has scored at least one goal in each of his last four home appearances after playing less than 20 minutes the previous day.
  • Mitch Marner has recorded an assist in each of the Maple Leafs’ last seven games on the second leg of a back-to-back.
  • Auston Matthews has recorded at least one point in each of his last eight appearances against the Flyers.
  • William Nylander ranks T2nd in the league for Goals (23) this season.

Philadelphia Flyers Player Prop Facts

  • Noah Cates has scored a goal in four of the Flyers’ last five games against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • Travis Konecny has recorded at least one assist in each of the Flyers’ last six road games against the Maple Leafs.
  • Travis Konecny has recorded at least one point in each of the Flyers’ last eight road games against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • Travis Konecny ranks T1st in the league for shootout goals (3) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 8th in the league for goals against per game this season (2.78).
  • The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 2nd in the league for Period 2 goals scored per game this season (1.33).
  • The Philadelphia Flyers rank 30th in the league for goals against per game this season (3.56).
  • The Philadelphia Flyers rank 28th in the league in power play percentage this season (15.89%).

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Philadelphia Flyers Prediction

The Philadelphia Flyers are in a bit of a funk with losses in 6 of their last 9 games, and they’ve been getting rocked defensively. The Flyers have allowed 4 or more goals in 7 of their last 9 games. That’s not ideal when going up against a team like the Maple Leafs. The Toronto Maple Leafs are coming off a six-goal performance against the Bruins, and they’re at home, where they’re 16-7 on the season. The Maple Leafs have won 8 of the last 9 games against the Flyers. I have to roll with the Maple Leafs at home, and of course, I lay the PL to shave down the juice. 

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Toronto Maple Leafs -1.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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