Toronto Maple Leafs vs Vegas Golden Knights Prediction 1/23/26 NHL Picks Today
Vegas Golden Knights (24-13-12) vs. Toronto Maple Leafs (24-17-9)
January 23, 2026 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Toronto Maple Leafs +100 / Vegas Golden Knights -120; Over/Under: 6.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Vegas Golden Knights and the Toronto Maple Leafs meet Friday in NHL action from the Scotiabank Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Vegas Golden Knights vs. Toronto Maple Leafs prediction.
Vegas Golden Knights Recap
The Vegas Golden Knights come into this game looking to add on to their 24-13-12 record this season after their 4-3 loss to Boston last time out. After this game, Vegas will head on the road for a game against Ottawa.
Golden Knights Drop Back-To-Back Games
Jack Eichel leads Vegas with 59 points coming on 18 goals and 41 assists. Mitch Marner has 52 points with 12 goals and 40 assists while Pavel Dorofeyev has 37 points with 21 goals and Ivan Barbashev has 33 points with 12 goals and 21 assists. Tomas Hertl’s added 44 points with 21 goals and 23 assists. Mark Stone also has 49 points with 18 goals and 31 assists. In goal for Vegas so far this season, Adin Hill is 2-1-2 with a 3.01 GAA and an .873 save percentage while Akira Schmid is 15-5-5 with a 2.52 GAA and an .896 save percentage this season. Carter Hart is also 5-3-3 with a 3.28 GAA and an .871 save percentage so far this season.
Why the Vegas Golden Knights will win
- The Golden Knights have won each of their last nine games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
- The Maple Leafs have lost four of their last five games.
- The Golden Knights have covered the puck line in each of their last seven Friday night games.
- The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in six of their last eight home games when playing with a rest advantage.
Vegas Golden Knights Player Prop Facts
- Tomas Hertl has scored at least one goal in each of the Golden Knights’ last four games on the second leg of a back-to-back.
- Mitch Marner has recorded at least one assist in each of the Golden Knights’ last six games against Atlantic Division opponents.
- Mark Stone has recorded a point in each of his last 13 appearances – longest active streak in the league.
Toronto Maple Leafs Recap
The Toronto Maple Leafs come into this game looking to bounce back from a 2-1 OT loss at the hands of Detroit last time out to sit at 24-17-9 this season. After this game, Toronto will take on the Colorado Avalanche at home.
Maple Leafs Lose 4 Of Last 5
William Nylander leads the Maple Leafs with 48 points on 17 goals and a team-high 31 assists while John Tavares has 43 points with 18 goals and 25 assists and Matthew Knies has 41 points with 12 goals and 29 assists. Auston Matthews has 42 points with 25 goals and 17 assists and Morgan Rielly has 29 points with 23 assists. Oliver Ekman-Larsson has 31 points with 23 assists. Anthony Stolarz has gone 6-5-1 with a 3.51 GAA and an .884 save percentage in goal for the Maple Leafs while Joseph Woll is 11-5-4 with a 2.85 GAA and a .912 save percentage. Dennis Hildeby is also 5-6-4 with a 2.96 GAA and a .910 save percentage this season.
Why the Toronto Maple Leafs will win
- The Golden Knights have lost each of their last four games as road favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
- The Maple Leafs have won each of their last six home games against opponents on a losing streak.
- The Golden Knights have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last nine games as favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
- The Maple Leafs have covered the puck line in each of their last eight games as home underdogs against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back.
Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts
- Matthew Knies has recorded at least one assist in each of the Maple Leafs’ last six home games against opponents who are playing on the second leg of a back-to-back.
- William Nylander has scored at least one goal in five of his last six appearances.
- Matias Maccelli has recorded two assists against the Golden Knights this season – equal-most against any opponent.
Total Goals Facts
- Each of the Maple Leafs’ last six home games against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back have gone OVER the total goals line.
- Each of the Golden Knights’ last four games on the second leg of a back-to-back have gone OVER the total goals line.
Vegas Golden Knights vs. Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction
I’m on the Maple Leafs here. I get the case to be made for Vegas, considering that the Golden Knights just beat the Leafs when these two teams met in Vegas not that long ago. However, Toronto was the better team for the majority of that game, and I think the Maple Leafs hold on and get their revenge over Vegas at home here. Give me the Maple Leafs.