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Toronto Maple Leafs vs Washington Capitals Prediction 12-28-24 NHL Picks

Washington Capitals (23-9-2) vs. Toronto Maple Leafs (21-12-2)
December 28, 2024 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Toronto Maple Leafs -120 / Washington Capitals +100; Over/Under: +7.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Washington Capitals and Toronto Maple Leafs meet Saturday in NHL action at the Scotiabank Arena. Here’s a Toronto Maple Leafs vs Washington Capitals Prediction. This article will include a Toronto Maple Leafs vs Washington Capitals Pick.

Washington Capitals Betting Preview

The Washington Capitals beat the Kings, lost to the Bruins, and they play the Red Wings, Bruins, and Wild next. The Washington Capitals are averaging 3.68 goals per game and are scoring 21.6 percent of their power play opportunities. Connor McMichael leads Washington with 16 goals, Dylan Strome has 27 assists and John Carlson has 81 shots on goal. Defensively, the Washington Capitals are allowing 2.62 goals per game and are killing 83 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Charlie Lindgren has allowed 44 goals on 442 shots faced, and Logan Thompson has given up 41 goals on 474 shots.


Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Preview

The Toronto Maple Leafs lost to the Jets, beat the Red Wings, and they play the Islanders, Bruins and Flyers next. The Toronto Maple Leafs are averaging 3.14 goals per game and are scoring 20.8 percent of their power play opportunities. William Nylander leads Toronto with 23 shots on goal, Mitch Marner has 36 shots on goal and John Tavares has 104 shots on goal. Defensively, the Toronto Maple Leafs are allowing 2.78 goals per game and are killing 82.1 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Anthony Stolarz has allowed 35 goals on 480 shots faced, and Joseph Woll has given up 40 goals on 439 shots.

Why the Toronto Maple Leafs will win

  • The home team has won each of the Capitals’ last six games.
  • The Capitals have lost five of their last six games at Scotiabank Arena.
  • The home team has covered the puck line in each of the Capitals’ last seven games.
  • The Capitals have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last four road games.
  • The favorites have won the third period in seven of the Capitals’ last eight games.

Total Goals Facts

  • Each of the Maple Leafs’ last six games have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • Each of the Capitals’ last five games have gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Maple Leafs’ last 17 games as favorites against Metropolitan Division opponents.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Capitals’ last nine games against Atlantic Division opponents.

Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts

  • William Nylander has scored at least one goal in five of the Maple Leafs’ last six games on the second leg of a back-to-back.
  • John Tavares has recorded at least one point in each of his last eight appearances with his team as a home favorite against the Capitals.
  • Mitch Marner has recorded an assist in each of the Maple Leafs’ last six games on the second leg of a back-to-back.

Washington Capitals Player Prop Facts

  • Nic Dowd has scored a goal in each of his last four appearances at Scotiabank Arena.
  • Pierre-Luc Dubois has recorded at least one point in each of the Capitals’ last seven games against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • Pierre-Luc Dubois has recorded an assist in each of the Capitals’ last seven games against Eastern Conference opponents.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Washington Capitals Prediction

The Washington Capitals are wroth a look in the underdog role when you consider they’re 12-5 on the road this season. However, we’re not getting enough bang for our buck with this price. The Toronto Maple Leafs are the more talented team overall, and they’ve seen 14 of their 22 wins come at home. Also, the Maple Leafs have won 8 of the last 10 games against the Capitals. Give me more plus money and I’d consider the Caps. Give me the Leafs at home and the cheap price.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Toronto Maple Leafs -120

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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