Washington Capitals vs New York Islanders prediction 11-2-23 NHL Picks
Washington Capitals (4-3-1) vs New York Islanders (4-2-2)
2023-11-02 19:00:00 EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Washington Capitals -102 / New York Islanders -122 --- Over/Under: 5.5
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The Metropolitan Division is heating up as the New York Islanders (4-2-2, 4th in Metropolitan) square off against the Washington Capitals (4-3-1, 5th in Metropolitan). Both teams are neck-and-neck in the standings. The Islanders aim to rebound from a recent overtime loss to the Detroit Red Wings, while the Capitals are riding a three-game win streak. For sports enthusiasts and bettors alike, this is a divisional rivalry that will make for excellent viewing.
Islanders Seeking to Anchor Down
The New York Islanders are currently holding their own, sitting at 4th in the Metropolitan Division. However, a recent 4-3 overtime loss to the Detroit Red Wings has exposed vulnerabilities on defense. Goalie Ilya Sorokin has been commendable early in the season, registering a 2.99 goals-against average and a .910 save percentage. On the other hand, Semyon Varlamov has been a brick wall, boasting an impressive 1.51 GAA and a .961 SV%. The pair offers a reliable goaltending tandem that could be a game-changer as the season progresses.
Offensively, Noah Dobson has emerged as the key playmaker, accumulating nine points from two goals and seven assists. Bo Horvat has also been hot on the trigger, scoring four goals so far. The Islanders’ power play unit has been fairly effective with a 16% conversion rate, while the penalty-killing unit is operating at a sturdy 79.3%. These special teams statistics are crucial indicators of how the Islanders could perform against a team like the Capitals, who have dangerous players capable of punishing any lapses.
What makes the Islanders a team to watch is recent form against quality opposition. Before the overtime loss to the Red Wings, New York secured wins against Columbus and Ottawa, indicating an ability to bounce back. The away form has also been decent, boasting a 1-1-0 record, which could be a factor in the upcoming game against the Capitals. The Islanders have shown they can rise to the occasion, and with key players like Dobson and Horvat in excellent form, the Islanders have the tools needed to secure a win and climb higher in the standings.
New York Islanders Team Facts
- The underdogs have won 10 of the Islanders’ last 12 games at Capital One Arena.
- The underdogs have covered the puck line in each of the Islanders’ last 12 games at Capital One Arena.
- The Islanders have lost the second period in three of their last four night games after coming off overtime.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Islanders’ last seven games against opponents on a winning streak.
Capitals in Full Swing
The Washington Capitals are entering this showdown with momentum, having clinched three consecutive wins. Yet, the overall statistics show a team still searching for its optimal form. Goalie Darcy Kuemper has been steady if not spectacular, recording a 2.92 GAA and a .903 SV%. His performance will be under scrutiny, particularly because backup goalie Charlie Lindgren is dealing with a day-to-day injury. Kuemper’s ability to elevate his game will be a vital component in the Capitals’ success.
On the offensive end, Alex Ovechkin is proving that age is just a number, leading the team with eight points consisting of two goals and six assists. Dylan Strome has been the go-to scorer, finding the net six times. Despite these individual achievements, the team’s power play has been languishing at a mere 12% efficiency, and their penalty kill stands at a subpar 75%. These figures are red flags that need immediate attention if the Capitals intend to maintain momentum and move up in the division standings.
One significant trend for the Capitals is the ability to close out games, as evidenced by the current three-game winning streak. During this period, the Capitals have managed to outscore opponents in the third period, stamina, focus and determination. Furthermore, the Capitals have a home record of 3-1-0, making Capital One Arena a fortress of sorts. While special teams’ performance has been underwhelming, the ability to win in crunch situations cannot be ignored. If Kuemper can step up his game and the special teams find their rhythm, the Capitals could very well extend their winning streak.
Washington Capitals Team Facts
- The Capitals have won six of their last seven games as underdogs against the Islanders.
- The underdogs have covered the puck line in each of the last 12 games between the Islanders and Capitals at Capital One Arena.
- The Capitals have lost the second period in each of their last five games as underdogs following a home win.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Capitals’ last seven games as underdogs.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Washington Capitals ranks 29th in the league for goals per game this season (2.13).
- The Washington Capitals ranks 26th in the league in power play percentage this season (12.00%).
- The New York Islanders ranks 25th in the league for goals per game this season (2.63).
- The New York Islanders ranks T8th in the league for goals against per game this season (2.88).
David’s Pick – New York Islanders (-122)
While both teams have had ups and downs, the New York Islanders show signs of a team that can tighten up defensively and capitalize on special teams. Sorokin and Varlamov provide a robust goaltending tandem that can stifle the Capitals’ offensive firepower. The Islanders’ balanced attack, spearheaded by Noah Dobson and Bo Horvat, can exploit the Capitals’ somewhat shaky defense. With the Islanders showing more consistency and looking to bounce back from a narrow OT loss, I’m tipping New York to pull off a win in what promises to be an electrifying matchup.