Washington Capitals vs Ottawa Senators Prediction 3/18/26 NHL Picks Today
Ottawa Senators (34-23-9) vs. Washington Capitals (33-27-8)
March 18, 2026 7:30 pm EDT
The Line: Washington Capitals +110 / Ottawa Senators -130; Over/Under: 6.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Ottawa Senators and the Washington Capitals meet Wednesday in NHL action from the Capital One Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Ottawa Senators vs. Washington Capitals prediction.
Ottawa Senators Recap
The Ottawa Senators come into this game looking to add on to a 7-4 win over San Jose last time out to sit at 34-23-9 this season. After this game, Ottawa will head home for a game against the New York Islanders.
Senators Win 5 Of Last 6
Tim Stutzle leads the Senators with 70 points coming on a team-high 30 goals and 40 assists while Drake Batherson has 59 points with 27 goals and 32 assists. Shane Pinto has 36 points with 17 goals and 19 assists while Dylan Cozens has 50 points with 24 goals and 26 assists. Claude Giroux has 41 points with 11 goals and 30 assists, Brady Tkachuk has 46 points with 18 goals and 28 assists and Jake Sanderson has 48 points with 11 goals and 37 assists. Linus Ullmark has gone 21-9-7 with a 2.81 GAA and an .885 save percentage in goal for Ottawa while Leevi Merilainen has gone 8-10-1 with a 3.51 GAA and an .860 save percentage as well this season. James Reimer has also gone 4-3-1 with a 2.53 GAA and an .882 save percentage this season.
Why the Ottawa Senators will win
- The Senators have won seven of their last eight road games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
- The Capitals have lost eight of their last 10 games when playing with a rest advantage.
- The road team has covered the puck line in each of the last six games between the Senators and Capitals.
- The Capitals have failed to cover the puck line in eight of their last nine games when playing with a rest advantage.
Ottawa Senators Player Prop Facts
- Tim Stutzle has scored a goal in each of the Senators’ last seven games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
- Tim Stutzle has recorded at least one assist in seven of the Senators’ last eight games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
- Dylan Cozens has scored two goals against the Capitals this season – equal-most against any opponent.
Washington Capitals Recap
The Washington Capitals come into this game looking to shake off a 3-2 shootout loss at the hands of the Boston Bruins last time out to sit at 33-27-8 this season. After this game, Washington will take on the New Jersey Devils at home.
Capitals Lose 5 Of Last 7
Alex Ovechkin leads the Capitals in scoring with 51 points including a team-high 24 points and 27 assists while Tom Wilson has 50 points with 24 goals and 26 assists this season. Jakob Chychrun has 50 points with 22 goals and 28 assists and Dylan Strome’s added 50 points with 16 goals and 34 assists as well this year. John Carlson’s chipped in 46 points with a team-high 36 assists and Aliaksei Protas has 44 points with 21 goals and 23 assists on the year. In goal for Washington, Logan Thompson has gone 22-19-5 with a 2.42 GAA and a .912 save percentage while Charlie Lindgren is 9-7-3 with a 3.29 GAA and an .886 save percentage so far this season. Clay Stevenson also has gone 2-1 with a 2.33 GAA and a .904 save percentage this season.
Why the Washington Capitals will win
- The Capitals have won each of their last 11 home games after coming off a shootout.
- The Senators have lost two of their last three games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
- The underdogs have covered the puck line in each of the last seven games between the Senators and Capitals.
- The Senators have failed to cover the puck line in four of their last five games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
Washington Capitals Player Prop Facts
- Ryan Leonard has scored a goal in each of the Capitals’ last four night games.
- Dylan Strome has recorded at least one assist in seven of the Capitals’ last eight games as home underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents.
- Pierre-Luc Dubois has recorded 16 career assists against the Senators – equal-most against any opponent (including playoffs).
Total Goals Facts
- Each of the Senators’ last nine games against the Capitals following a home win have gone OVER the total goals line.
- Seven of the Capitals’ last eight games against Eastern Conference opponents have gone UNDER the total goals line.
Ottawa Senators vs. Washington Capitals Prediction
I’m on the Senators here. Normally I’d be on the Capitals at home in this spot, but these are just two teams that are headed in different directions right now, and I think this is a spot for the Senators to pick up a key road win to keep themselves in the mix in the playoffs in the East. Washington’s tempting as a home underdog, but I think the line is telling. Give me Ottawa.