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Winnipeg Jets vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction 11-3-24 NHL Picks

Tampa Bay Lightning (7-4) vs. Winnipeg Jets (10-1)
November 3, 2024 3:00 pm EDT
The Line: Winnipeg Jets -132 / Tampa Bay Lightning +115; Over/Under: +6
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Winnipeg Jets vs Tampa Bay Lightning prediction for this NHL game on Sunday, November 3rd at the Canada Life Centre in Winnipeg, Manitoba. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup. 

Winnipeg Jets Betting Preview

The Winnipeg Jets are 10-1-0 this year after they defeated Columbus by a score of 6-2 in their last game. Winnipeg led 2-1 after the first and 4-2 after the second, before adding two more goals in the third for the win. The Jets outshot Columbus by a total of 44-22, won 48.3% of the face-offs, and went 1-2 on the power play in the game. Winnipeg got goals from Appleton, Ehlers (3), Vilardi, and Morrissey, while Comrie stopped 20 out of 22 shots in the win. 


Prior to that game, the Jets defeated Detroit by a score of 6-2 but did lose to Toronto by a score of 6-4 before that. Winnipeg has scored 4.73 goals per game and they have allowed 2.36 goals against per game, while also going 45.2% on the power play and 78.3% on the penalty kill this season. Kyle Connor has led Winnipeg with nine goals, nine assists, and 44 shots on goal, while Connor Hellebuyck is 7-1-0 with a 2.12 goals against average and a .923 save percentage. 

Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Lightning are 7-4-0 this season after they lost to Minnesota by a score of 5-3 in their last game. Tampa Bay led 1-0 in the first and tied the game at two in the third, but they allowed three of the last four goals for the loss. The Lightning outshot Minnesota by a total of 30-22, won 53.7% of the face-offs, and went 2-4 on the power play in the game. Tampa Bay got goals from Guentzel, Paul, and Point, while Vasilevskiy stopped 17 out of 20 shots in the game. 

Prior to that loss, the Lightning won three games in a row against Colorado, Nashville, and Washington. Tampa Bay has scored 3.82 goals per game and they have allowed 3.00 goals against per game, while also going 18.4% on the power play and 73.7% on the penalty kill this season. Nikita Kucherov has led TB with nine goals, nine assists, and 43 shots on goal, while Andrei Vasilevskiy is 6-4-0 with a 2.47 goals against average and a .906 save percentage this year.

Why the Jets will beat the Lightning

  • The Jets have won 10 of their last 11 games.
  • The Lightning have lost each of their last six games as road underdogs against Central Division opponents.
  • The Lightning have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last six games as road underdogs against Central Division opponents.
  • The Jets have covered the puck line in each of their last five-day games at Canada Life Centre.
  • The Lightning have lost the third period in each of their last six games as road underdogs against Central Division opponents.

Total Goals Facts

  • Seven of the Jets’ last eight games have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • Each of the Lightning’s last five road games has gone OVER the total goals line.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in nine of the last 10 games between the Lightning and Jets.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in each of the Lightning’s last five games as underdogs against opponents on a winning streak.

Winnipeg Jets Player Prop Facts

  • Kyle Connor has recorded at least one point in each of the Jets’ last 16 games as favorites.
  • Josh Morrissey has recorded at least one assist in eight of the Jets’ last nine games as home favorites.
  • Kyle Connor has scored at least one goal in each of the Jets’ last four home games.

Tampa Bay Lightning Player Prop Facts

  • Nikita Kucherov has recorded at least one point in each of the Lightning’s last 17 games as road underdogs.
  • Nikita Kucherov has recorded at least one assist in each of the Lightning’s last 13 games as underdogs.
  • Brayden Point has scored a goal in each of the Lightning’s last four games as underdogs.

Winnipeg Jets vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction 

Winnipeg comes into this matchup with only one loss on the season and they have scored at least four goals in five straight games. Tampa Bay has won three of their last four, but they did lose to Minnesota in their last game. The Lightning are 3-3-0 on the road this year, while the Jets are 4-1-0 at home. Winnipeg is the hottest team in the NHL to start this season and they are over 45% on the power play. Take the Jets to get another win at home. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Jets ML

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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