Colombia vs. Peru
July 9, 2021 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: Over 2.5 +110, Under 2.5 -138
(Click here for latest betting odds)
Colombia and Peru are playing at Estadio Nacional Mane Garrincha in the 3rd place match of the Copa America 2021. Colombia hasn’t been playing well in this tournament, but they somehow managed to reach the semifinals where they lost to Argentina. Peru was impressive in this tournament, and they were going toe to toe with Brazil in the semifinals, but they still lost.
Colombia is a talented team, they have the depth, they have solid midfield and defense, but their chemistry is just not good enough. In their last game against Argentina, Colombia has had 50% of ball possession, 4 shots on goal, 3 corner kicks, 0 big chances created, and 82% of the correct passes. This was a rough game where Colombia conceded first, but luckily for them, Argentina wasn’t focused on the attacking end. Colombia was able to score, and this game went to the penalty shootout. Argentina was the better team in this shootout, and Colombia has lost and got knocked out of the competition. Diaz is the leading goalscorer for Colombia with 2 goals, while Cardona and Borja added 1 goal each. Considering their form, Colombia has done well in this tournament and to teach the semifinals is an accomplishment for them, but to win 3rd place would be even better.
After all of their struggles before this tournament, Peru has completely changed their game, and they were impressive in this Copa America. Peru has lost their opening game, but they were on a 4-game streak without a loss after that, until their game against Brazil in the semifinals. Peru has had 44% of ball possession in that match, 2 shots on goal, 3 corner kicks, 1 big chance created, and 80% of the correct passes. Peru has conceded a goal in the 35th minute, but they were extremely dangerous in the second half, and they could have tied the score. Unfortunately for Peru, Brazil was defending well, and Peru has lost this game 1-0. Lapadula has had a solid tournament, and he is Peru’s leading goalscorer with 3 goals, while Carillo added 2 goals. Winning 3rd place in this tournament would be much more than they expected, and it would certainly be a step in the right direction. Peru is a tough team to beat, and they will be tough in this game as well.
The trends are heavily on Colombia’s side in this matchup, but as I’ve mentioned earlier, their form has been bad in this tournament. Colombia is certainly the better team with more depth, but Peru will not just give up. I think this will be a rough game that could go either way, but I will stick to the draw.