Sevilla vs. VfL Wolfsburg
November 23, 2021 3:00 pm EDT
The Line: Over 2.5 +100, Under 2.5 -125
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Sevilla is hosting VfL Wolfsburg at Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan in round 5 of Group G of the UEFA Champions League. Sevilla is still without a win in the Champions League, but they are doing great in LaLiga where they are in 3rd place. Wolfsburg seemed to have been waking up, but they are now again in a slump with 2 games in a row without a win.
Sevilla is in the last place of this group with 3 points, but their chances of advancing to the next stage are still solid. Offensively, Sevilla hasn’t shown much in the Champions League, they have scored only 3 goals, but their defense has been quite solid with 4 conceded goals. In their last LaLiga game against Alaves at home, Sevilla was a much better team with 68% of ball possession, 6 shots on goal, 5 corner kicks, 1 big chance created, and 82% of the correct passes. Despite all of the dominance, Sevilla had to chance Alaves twice in this game, but they were good enough to catch up, and the final score of this game was 2-2. As I’ve mentioned, Sevilla is in the last place of this group and they haven’t been playing nearly as good as they are in LaLiga, but now it’s time to step up and show what they can do when they are under pressure.
Wolfsburg is so inconsistent this season they look like an average team in Bundesliga and not the team that qualified for the Champions League. However, in the Champions League, Wolfsburg has done some great work, and they are now in 3rd place with 5 points, and they have a decent chance at qualifying for the next stage. Of Wolfsburg’s 5 scored goals so far in the Champions League, Nmecha has scored 2, while Steffen and Baku added 1 goal each. The biggest problem for Wolfsburg ahead of this game is their bad form and the fact they can’t keep the ball out of their net. In their last Bundesliga game, Wolfsburg was playing against Arminia on the road, and they have had 63% of ball possession, 5 shots on goal, 5 corner kicks, 2 big chances created, and 81% of the correct passes. Wolfsburg was losing 2-0 in the 54th minute, but with 2 second-half goals, Wolfsburg has tied the score, and the final result was 2-2. Wolfsburg is not a bad team, but I think playing in the Champions League and Bundesliga is stretching them thin, and I don’t think they will even end up in the Europa League spot.
The first game between these two teams has ended in a 1-1 draw, but I think Sevilla gets this one. Sevilla is in better form, they are playing more consistently, and they actually have a solid defense.