AC Milan vs. FC Porto 11/3/21 UEFA Champions League Soccer Pick, Odds, and Prediction

AC Milan is hosting FC Porto at San Siro in round 4 of Group B of the UEFA Champions League. Milan might be dominating Serie A, but they are still winless in the Champions League. Porto is not much better in the Champions League, but they did beat Milan a few weeks ago at home.

In Serie A, Milan is in excellent form, and they are still undefeated, but that form is nowhere to be seen when it comes to the Champions League. Milan is in last place with 0 points, 3 scored goals, and 6 conceded goals. The good news for Milan is they still have a chance to advance past the group stage, or at least qualify for the Europa League, but they need a win here. In their last game against Roma on the road, Milan has had 50% of ball possession, 3 shots on goal, 2 corner kicks, 2 big chances created, and 85% of the correct passes. Milan scored a goal in each half, but they also conceded at the end of this game. The final score was 1-2 in favor of Milan. Diaz, Rebic, and Leao have each scored 1 goal for Milan in the Champions League, but some of these players are injured. Milan is now filled with confidence, and Ibrahimovic is finally back to scoring goals, and they will definitely need him in this game.

Porto has taken over the top of the Primeira Liga in Portugal, but they are not playing as well in the Champions League. With only 2 scored goals in this competition so far, Porto is the weakest offensive team in this group, while their defense wasn’t much better. Diaz and Taremi have each scored 1 goal for Porto so far. In their latest game, Porto was playing against Boavista at home, ad they were a much better team in this game with 72% of ball possession, 11 shots on goal, 4 corner kicks, 5 big chances created, and 89% of the correct passes. This was a game where Porto had to let their offense play, and that is exactly what happened. Porto has won this game 4-1. The only safe team in this group is Liverpool, while everything else is still wide open, which means that Porto could very well find themselves in the position to advance past the group stage, but only if they win this game.

The reverse fixture between these two teams a few weeks ago was tense, and it was a tight game, but now that both teams need a win, I expect this game to be more open. I think Milan has the advantage here, and I see them winning this game.