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Brazil vs. Ecuador 6/4/21 South American World Cup Qualifications Soccer Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Brazil vs. Ecuador
June 4, 2021 8:30 pm EDT
The Line: Over 2.5 -163, Under 2.5 +125
(Get latest betting odds)

Brazil is welcoming Ecuador to Estadio Municipal de Maracana in round 7 of the South American World Cup qualifications. Brazil is at the top of the table with 12 points and a 4-0-0 record. Ecuador is in 3rd place with 9 points and a 3-0-1 record.

Brazil is in fantastic form with 5 wins in a row, and alongside Argentina, Brazil is the best team in South America. Brazil has been outstanding so far in these qualifications, and they are at the top of the table with 12 points, 12 scored goals, and only 2 conceded goals. Neymar and Firmino are the leading goalscorers for Brazil with 3 goals each, while Richarlison added 2 goals. In their last game against Uruguay, Brazil was solid with 59% of ball possession, 4 shots on goal, 2 corner kicks, 1 big chance created, and a solid 86% of correct passes. With 2 scored goals in the first half, Brazil was leading 0-2, and all they needed to do was to bring this game to an end, and they did. Brazil has won this match 0-2. Brazil’s roster looks pretty good, and they are the biggest favorite to win the upcoming Copa America, and deservedly so.

Ecuador has started these qualifications with a loss, but they are now on a 4-game winning streak, with 3 of those games being in the World Cup qualifications. Ecuador has scored impressive 13 goals so far in the qualifications, the most so far, but they have also conceded 6 goals, and that is a potential problem for them. In their last game in these qualifications against Colombia at home, Ecuador was the better team with 53% of ball possession, 9 shots on goal, 5 corner kicks, 2 big chances created, and 83% of the correct passes. Ecuador was absolutely fantastic in the attacking end in this match, and they have scored 6 goals. The final score of this match was 6-1 in favor of Ecuador. Estrada is the leading goalscorer for Ecuador with 3 goals, while Mena and Plata added 2 goals each. Ecuador is on the right track to qualify for the World Cup, but they do have some depth problems, and in the long run, that could be a problem for Ecuador.

Of the 11 games these two teams have played against each other since 2003, Brazil has won 8, Ecuador has won 1 game, while 2 games ended in a draw. Brazil hasn’t lost to Ecuador in their last 3 home games, while they haven’t lost any of their last 23 home games overall. Brazil is the better team here, the deeper team, but after so much time without a game, it’s hard to predict how well either team will be playing. With Ecuador scoring a lot of goals, I think they might score here as well, and for that reason, I will take Brazil and the over.

Goran Kucar's Free Pick: Brazil and over 2.5 -125

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Goran Kucar

I was born and raised in Croatia, and with that, I was raised with soccer all around me. I love playing soccer, watching soccer, and now I love writing and handicapping soccer at PickDawgz and SportsChatPlace.

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