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Fiorentina vs. Milan 11/20/21 Serie A Soccer Picks, Best Bets and Odds

Fiorentina vs. Milan
November 20, 2021 2:45 pm EDT
The Line: Over 2.5 -125, Under 2.5 +100
(Get latest betting odds)

Fiorentina is welcoming Milan to Stadio Artemio Franchi in round 13 of the Italian Serie A. Fiorentina has been decent at home so far this season, but they don’t have a lot of offensive diversity, and that is a problem for them. Milan is still undefeated in Serie A this season, but they are playing an important Champions League game next week.

Fiorentina has been hot and cold this season, they are very inconsistent on both ends, and they are in 7th place with 18 points. Offensively, Fiorentina is decent with 16 scored goals, and Vlahovic is their leading goalscorer with 8 goals. Defensively, Fiorentina is not bad, they have conceded 14 goals, but they haven’t been playing great on the road. In their last game against Juventus, Fiorentina has had 50% of ball possession, 1 shot on goal, 5 corner kicks, 0 big chances created, and 79% of the correct passes. After defending well for most of the game, Fiorentina lost focus in the 91st minute, and they conceded a goal and lost this game 1-0. The good news is Fiorentina is playing only on 1 front, and if they can become just a bit more consistent, they might get into the Europa League battle.


Milan is in 2nd place in the Serie A standings, but they have the same number of points as Napoli at the top. Milan is also still undefeated in Serie A, and that is a great accomplishment for this team. With 26 scored goals, Milan is one of the best offensive teams in the league, and Giroud and Leao are their leading goalscorers with 4 goals each. Hernandez has added 3 assists. There are a few injured players in Milan right now, and apparently, Rebic got hurt as well but I don’t see him on the injury list, and that might be a good thing. Milan was playing against Inter in their last Serie A game, and they were a slightly better team in that match with 51% of ball possession, 4 shots on goal, 4 corner kicks, 0 big chances created, and a solid 83% of the correct passes. After conceding in the 11th minute, Milan has tied the score in the 17th minute, and the final result was 1-1. As I’ve mentioned, Milan has an important Champions League game next week, and the only way they can advance is if they win both games and if Porto losses both of theirs, but it will be tough. Milan might rest some players in this game, but they are a good team even so, and I think they will have a good game here.

Fiorentina has been playing their best soccer at home this season but playing one of the best teams in the league this season is not easy. Milan is playing well, but we will see if the international break was good for them or not. Milan might rest some players, they certainly don’t want more injuries, and for that reason, I will take the draw.

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Goran Kucar's Free Pick: Draw +250

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Goran Kucar

I was born and raised in Croatia, and with that, I was raised with soccer all around me. I love playing soccer, watching soccer, and now I love writing and handicapping soccer at PickDawgz and SportsChatPlace.

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