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Genoa vs. AC Milan 12/1/21 Serie A Soccer Picks, Best Bets and Odds

Genoa vs. AC Milan
December 1, 2021 2:45 pm EDT
The Line: Over 2.5 -138, Under 2.5 +110
(Get latest betting odds)

Genoa is hosting AC Milan at Luigi Ferraris in round 15 of the Italian Serie A. Genoa has won only 1 game so far this season, and that was in round 3 of the Serie A. After that shocking loss to Sassuolo at home this past weekend, Milan needs a nice bounce-back game, and I think this one will be it.

Genoa has won only 10 points so far this season, they have scored 17 goals, which isn’t that bad, but they have conceded 26 goals, which is terrible. Genoa is now in 18th place, but they are only 1 point away from safety. Genoa was playing against Udinese in their last game in Serie A, and they were decent with 57% of ball possession, 2 shots on goal, 1 corner kick, 1 big chance created, and 81% of the correct passes. Overall, not a bad game from Genoa, but Udinese is not the best team in Serie A. The final score of this game was 0-0. Destro has been in solid form for Genoa, and he has scored 6 goals, while Criscito added 5 goals. The injury list is quite long for Genoa, and they will have a tough time making the starting lineup without their best players. Genoa has a lot of work to do this season, and they are not doing any work right now, which might cost them later.

Milan has only 1 win in their last 5 games, but it was an important one, against Atletico Madrid in the Champions League last week. Thanks to that win, Milan still has a chance to qualify for the next stage, but only if they beat Liverpool next week. Milan was hosting Sassuolo in their last game in Serie A, and they have had 50% of ball possession, 2 shots on goal, 7 corner kicks, 0 big chances created, and 82% of the correct passes. Milan has had a tough game midweek, and it’s understandable they were tired, but to lose 1-3 at home against Sassuolo is not acceptable. Milan has remained in 2nd place in the standings even after this loss, but Inter is now only 1 point behind them, and Milan needs a win to keep up with Napoli. Ibrahimovic is the leading goalscorer for Milan with 5 goals, while Giroud and Leao added 4 goals each. Hernandez has added 5 assists. Castillejo, Calabria, and Rebic are injured, while Romagnoli is suspended because of the red card. Milan does need a win in the Champions League next week, but they also need to stay in good form if they want that win, which makes me think they will go with their strongest lineup in this game.

Genoa is in terrible, terrible form, they haven’t won a game in a while, and they certainly won’t start now. I’m taking the better team, and that is Milan whether they are playing at home or on the road.

Goran Kucar's Free Pick: Milan -1 +106

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Goran Kucar

I was born and raised in Croatia, and with that, I was raised with soccer all around me. I love playing soccer, watching soccer, and now I love writing and handicapping soccer at PickDawgz and SportsChatPlace.

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